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Lyon - La Duchere vs Le Puy-en-Velay

France France

Coupe de France 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lyon - La Duchere play Le Puy-en-Velay in the Coupe de France 2023/2024. Lyon - La Duchere are favorites here. Recently, Lyon - La Duchere averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Le Puy-en-Velay averaged 1.45 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. In past meetings, Lyon - La Duchere won 3, Le Puy-en-Velay won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 6, 2024 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Lyon - La Duchere and 1.00 for Le Puy-en-Velay. This points to a Lyon - La Duchere double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Lyon - La Duchere
25%
Draws
15%
Le Puy-en-Velay
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Lyon - La Duchere

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Lyon - La Duchere picked up more points recently compared to Le Puy-en-Velay.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Lyon - La Duchere Clean Sheet 23%
Le Puy-en-Velay Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lyon - La Duchere Le Puy-en-Velay
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 15
Draws 5 8
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.67 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.9

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 6, 2024 Coupe de France
Lyon - La Duchere vs Le Puy-en-Velay
1:2
Mar 6, 2020 Ligue 3
Lyon - La Duchere vs Le Puy-en-Velay
0:1
Sep 27, 2019 Ligue 3
Le Puy-en-Velay vs Lyon - La Duchere
1:2
Mar 12, 2016 National 2 - Group B
Lyon - La Duchere vs Le Puy-en-Velay
1:0
Oct 3, 2015 National 2 - Group B
Le Puy-en-Velay vs Lyon - La Duchere
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lyon - La Duchere Compare

Top Goalscorer Bentahar M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Le Puy-en-Velay Compare

Top Goalscorer Karamoko I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adinany B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lyon - La Duchere 59 / 100
Le Puy-en-Velay 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lyon - La Duchere Le Puy-en-Velay

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lyon - La Duchere Win (1)
Secondary Pick Lyon - La Duchere & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lyon - La Duchere attacking → ← attacking Le Puy-en-Velay

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lyon - La Duchere scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Le Puy-en-Velay let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Lyon - La Duchere went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Le Puy-en-Velay lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 53
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75