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Lyon - La Duchere vs Nimes

France France

National 1 - Group C Stade de Balmont, Lyon
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Pires V.

AI Match Summary

The National 1 - Group C game between Lyon - La Duchere and Nimes finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nimes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Lyon - La Duchere
15%
Draws
85%
Nimes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nimes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Nimes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Nimes a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National 1 - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Lyon - La Duchere Clean Sheet 20%
Nimes Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lyon - La Duchere Nimes
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 17
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.48 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Lyon - La Duchere vs Nimes
0:1
Jan 5, 2019 Coupe de France
Lyon - La Duchere vs Nimes
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lyon - La Duchere Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Nimes Compare

Top Goalscorer Pires V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lyon - La Duchere 10 / 100
Nimes 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lyon - La Duchere Nimes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nimes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lyon - La Duchere scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Nimes let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Difficult form: Nimes registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lyon - La Duchere VS Nimes
0.6 Goals Scored 2.13
2.6 Goals Conceded 1.25
60% Over 1.5 100%
60% Over 2.5 88%
40% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lyon - La Duchere

(Home)
12 Sept
Andrezieux
3 : 1
Lyon - La Duchere
05 Sept
Lyon - La Duchere
0 : 1
Nimes
29 Aug
Saint Priest
2 : 1
Lyon - La Duchere
22 Aug
Lyon - La Duchere
1 : 7
Rumilly Vallieres
20 Dec
Lyon - La Duchere
1 : 2
Toulouse
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Nimes

(Away)
12 Sept
Nimes
4 : 0
Troyes II
05 Sept
Lyon - La Duchere
0 : 1
Nimes
29 Aug
Nimes
3 : 0
Frejus Saint Raphael
22 Aug
Canet Roussillon
1 : 3
Nimes
30 Jul
Marseille
2 : 1
Nimes
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nimes 4 4 0 0 11:1 12
2 Hyeres 4 3 1 0 9:2 10
3 Toulon 4 2 2 0 7:2 8
4 Hauts Lyonnais 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
5 Andrezieux 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
6 Rumilly Vallieres 4 2 0 2 11:6 6
7 Frejus Saint Raphael 4 2 0 2 6:6 6
8 Touraine 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
9 Limonest 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
10 Saint Priest 4 1 1 2 4:8 4
11 Troyes II 4 1 1 2 3:8 4
12 GOAL FC 3 0 3 0 3:3 3
13 Bourges 18 3 0 3 0 1:1 3
14 Chateauroux 4 0 2 2 1:3 2
15 Istres 4 0 2 2 1:5 2
16 Canet Roussillon 4 0 1 3 3:10 1
17 Lyon - La Duchere 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)