Sport Picks
Lyon - La Duchere vs Toulon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
France
National 1 - Group C Stade de Balmont, Lyon 
Match Events
44'
44'
Reymond M.
56'
56'
Owono T.
61'
61'
Valey E.
AI Match Summary
Lyon - La Duchere in this National 1 - Group C matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lyon - La Duchere.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Toulon haven't matched Lyon - La Duchere's recent run of results.
- Lyon - La Duchere are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Lyon - La Duchere have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Lyon - La Duchere Clean Sheet 20%
Toulon Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lyon - La Duchere | Toulon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 12 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Lyon - La Duchere vs Toulon
3:1
Feb 11, 2023 National 1 - Group C
Lyon - La Duchere vs Toulon
3:1
Sep 10, 2022 National 1 - Group C
Toulon vs Lyon - La Duchere
1:2
Feb 11, 2022 National 1 - Group C
Lyon - La Duchere vs Toulon
2:0
Aug 27, 2021 National 1 - Group C
Toulon vs Lyon - La Duchere
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lyon - La Duchere Compare
Top Goalscorer Owono T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Valey E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Toulon Compare
Top Goalscorer Reymond M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lyon - La Duchere 49 / 100
Toulon 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lyon - La Duchere Toulon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lyon - La Duchere Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lyon - La Duchere scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Toulon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Lyon - La Duchere has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Lyon - La Duchere VS Toulon
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Lyon - La Duchere
(Home) 07 Nov
Lyon - La Duchere
2 : 2 Frejus Saint Raphael
31 Oct
Canet Roussillon
0 : 0 Lyon - La Duchere
17 Oct
Lyon - La Duchere
3 : 0 Bourges 18
03 Oct
GOAL FC
2 : 0 Lyon - La Duchere
19 Sept
Lyon - La Duchere
3 : 1 Toulon
Page 1 of 6
07 Nov
Lyon - La Duchere
2 : 2 Frejus Saint Raphael
17 Oct
Lyon - La Duchere
3 : 0 Bourges 18
19 Sept
Lyon - La Duchere
3 : 1 Toulon
05 Sept
Lyon - La Duchere
0 : 1 Nimes
22 Aug
Lyon - La Duchere
1 : 7 Rumilly Vallieres
Page 1 of 4
Toulon
(Away) 11 Nov
Toulon
1 : 0 Limonest
06 Nov
Touraine
2 : 0 Toulon
31 Oct
Toulon
0 : 0 Hyeres
17 Oct
Hauts Lyonnais
0 : 0 Toulon
03 Oct
Toulon
1 : 0 Troyes II
Page 1 of 6
06 Nov
Touraine
2 : 0 Toulon
17 Oct
Hauts Lyonnais
0 : 0 Toulon
19 Sept
Lyon - La Duchere
3 : 1 Toulon
05 Sept
Canet Roussillon
0 : 3 Toulon
22 Aug
GOAL FC
1 : 1 Toulon
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nimes | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 21:7 | 21 |
| 2 | Rumilly Vallieres | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 31:14 | 18 |
| 3 | Toulon | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Frejus Saint Raphael | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:13 | 16 |
| 5 | Hauts Lyonnais | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | 16 |
| 6 | Troyes II | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 12:17 | 16 |
| 7 | Hyeres | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12:6 | 15 |
| 8 | Touraine | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8:4 | 15 |
| 9 | Andrezieux | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 10 | Saint Priest | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12:17 | 11 |
| 11 | GOAL FC | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:9 | 10 |
| 12 | Limonest | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10:14 | 8 |
| 13 | Lyon - La Duchere | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:18 | 8 |
| 14 | Bourges 18 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5:11 | 7 |
| 15 | Canet Roussillon | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4:15 | 6 |
| 16 | Istres | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 2:14 | 5 |
| 17 | Chateauroux | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7:13 | 4 |
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)
