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Lyon vs Lillestrom - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Europa League Parc Olympique Lyonnais, Lyon
Thu, Nov 26, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lyon host Lillestrom in the Europa League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Lillestrom have shipped 1.55 goals a game lately, while Lyon have conceded 1.45 and scored 1.86. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.81 xG vs 1.63) point toward Lyon. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Lyon
15%
Draws
48%
Lillestrom
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lillestrom

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Lyon have won more games recently than Lillestrom.
  • Win probability leans Lyon's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Lyon Clean Sheet 14%
Lillestrom Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lyon Lillestrom
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.86 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lyon 39 / 100
Lillestrom 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lyon Lillestrom

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lyon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lyon's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Lillestrom has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Lyon went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Lillestrom has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lyon VS Lillestrom
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lyon

(Home)
05 Nov
Real Sociedad
1 : 1
Lyon
01 Nov
Lyon
2 : 0
Angers
26 Oct
PSG
2 : 0
Lyon
22 Oct
Hoffenheim
3 : 0
Lyon
18 Oct
Lyon
2 : 1
Nice
Page 1 of 6

Lillestrom

(Away)
05 Nov
Lillestrom
0 : 1
Plzen
01 Nov
Start
0 : 1
Lillestrom
28 Oct
Lillestrom
2 : 1
Sogndal
25 Oct
Lillestrom
3 : 2
Brann
22 Oct
Lillestrom
0 : 6
Real Sociedad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica 4 4 0 0 13:3 12
2 Bournemouth 4 4 0 0 11:2 12
3 Ferencvaros 4 4 0 0 11:3 12
4 Royale Union SG 4 3 1 0 10:2 10
5 Juventus 4 3 1 0 11:4 10
6 Olympiacos Piraeus 4 3 1 0 4:1 10
7 Bayer Leverkusen 4 3 0 1 8:1 9
8 Besiktas 4 2 1 1 11:8 7
9 Din. Zagreb 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
10 Levski Sofia 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
11 Sunderland 4 2 1 1 4:4 7
12 Nijmegen 4 2 1 1 8:9 7
13 Lyon 4 2 1 1 6:7 7
14 AZ Alkmaar 4 2 0 2 7:4 6
15 Anderlecht 4 2 0 2 6:3 6
16 OFI Crete 4 2 0 2 5:4 6
17 Rennes 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
18 Omonia 4 2 0 2 6:7 6
19 Torreense 4 2 0 2 7:9 6
20 Real Sociedad 4 1 2 1 9:4 5
21 Crystal Palace 4 1 2 1 9:6 5
22 Sparta Prague 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
23 Hoffenheim 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
24 Sturm Graz 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
25 Celje 4 1 1 2 5:9 4
26 Salzburg 4 1 1 2 3:8 4
27 Celta Vigo 4 1 0 3 4:6 3
28 AC Milan 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
29 Jagiellonia 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
30 Plzen 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
31 Marseille 4 1 0 3 2:6 3
32 Celtic 4 1 0 3 6:11 3
33 H. Beer Sheva 4 0 1 3 1:8 1
34 Lillestrom 4 0 1 3 2:10 1
35 Lech Poznan 4 0 1 3 2:12 1
36 Ararat-Armenia 4 0 0 4 4:14 0
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)