Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lyon vs PAOK

Europe Europe

Europa League 2025/2026 Parc Olympique Lyonnais, Lyon
4 - 2
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Giakoumakis G.
Assist: Zivkovic A.
34' Event
Himbert R.
Assist: Moreira A.
36'
Konstantelias G.

AI Match Summary

Lyon in this Europa League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lyon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Lyon
30%
Draws
34%
PAOK
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lyon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lyon lately — more wins on the board than PAOK.
  • Win probability leans Lyon's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Lyon Clean Sheet 10%
PAOK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lyon PAOK
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 13
Draws 4 8
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 2.5 2.13
Goals Conceded 2 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2026 Europa League
Lyon vs PAOK
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lyon Compare

Top Goalscorer Himbert R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Merah K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

PAOK Compare

Top Goalscorer Giakoumakis G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Meite S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lyon 34 / 100
PAOK 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lyon PAOK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lyon scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

PAOK has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Lyon has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lyon VS PAOK
2.5 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lyon

(Home)
24 Jul
Wolfsburg
0 : 2
Lyon
18 Jul
Slavia Prague
2 : 0
Lyon
15 Jul
Lyon
2 : 1
Servette
11 Jul
Lyon
6 : 3
St. Gallen
08 Jul
Lyon
5 : 2
Macon
Page 1 of 6

PAOK

(Away)
23 Jul
Dynamo Kyiv
2 : 3
PAOK
11 Jul
PAOK
2 : 3
Twente
07 Jul
PAOK
3 : 2
AEK Larnaca
04 Jul
PAOK
4 : 0
Westerlo
01 Jul
PAOK
4 : 1
SK Beveren
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lyon870118:521
2Aston Villa870114:621
3Midtjylland861118:819
4Betis852113:717
5FC Porto852113:717
6Braga852111:517
7Freiburg852110:417
8AS Roma851213:616
9Genk851211:716
10Bologna843114:715
11VfB Stuttgart850315:915
12Ferencvaros843112:1115
13Nottingham842215:714
14Plzen83508:314
15Crvena zvezda84227:614
16Celta Vigo841315:1113
17PAOK833217:1412
18Lille840412:912
19Fenerbahce833210:712
20Panathinaikos833211:912
21Celtic832313:1511
22Ludogorets831412:1510
23Din. Zagreb831412:1610
24Brann82339:119
25Young Boys830510:169
26Sturm Graz82155:117
27FCSB82159:167
28G.A. Eagles82156:147
29Feyenoord820611:156
30Basel82069:136
31Salzburg820610:156
32Rangers81165:144
33Nice81077:153
34Utrecht80175:151
35Malmo FF80174:151
36Maccabi Tel Aviv80172:221
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)