Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lyon vs Rennes

France France

Ligue 1 Parc Olympique Lyonnais, Lyon
Sat, Sep 19, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lyon host Rennes in the Ligue 1. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Lyon at 1.67 goals for, 1.53 against; Rennes at 1.83 for, 1.72 against. Past meetings favor Rennes slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 4:2. The numbers (1.81 xG vs 1.69) point toward Rennes. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Lyon
30%
Draws
33%
Rennes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lyon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Rennes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Lyon taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%
Lyon Clean Sheet 68%
Rennes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lyon Rennes
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 6 4
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.67 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Ligue 1
Lyon vs Rennes
4:2
Sep 14, 2025 Ligue 1
Rennes vs Lyon
3:1
Apr 26, 2025 Ligue 1
Lyon vs Rennes
4:1
Aug 18, 2024 Ligue 1
Rennes vs Lyon
3:0
Jan 26, 2024 Ligue 1
Lyon vs Rennes
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lyon 50 / 100
Rennes 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lyon Rennes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lyon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 7:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lyon scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Rennes has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Lyon went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lyon VS Rennes
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lyon

(Home)
04 Sept
Lyon
3 : 1
Auxerre
29 Aug
Lyon
1 : 1
Le Havre
26 Aug
Lyon
1 : 2
Fenerbahce
22 Aug
Toulouse
0 : 2
Lyon
18 Aug
Fenerbahce
1 : 1
Lyon
Page 1 of 6

Rennes

(Away)
06 Sept
Angers
1 : 2
Rennes
30 Aug
Rennes
3 : 2
Le Mans
23 Aug
Rennes
2 : 2
PSG
15 Aug
Sunderland
2 : 1
Rennes
08 Aug
Rennes
2 : 4
Brentford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monaco 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Paris FC 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Lyon 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
4 Lille 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
5 Rennes 3 2 1 0 7:5 7
6 Strasbourg 3 2 0 1 8:7 6
7 Brest 3 1 2 0 6:5 5
8 Lorient 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
9 Troyes 3 1 1 1 4:7 4
10 Marseille 3 1 0 2 6:5 3
11 Lens 3 1 0 2 6:5 3
12 Angers 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
13 Le Mans 3 0 2 1 5:6 2
14 PSG 3 0 2 1 5:6 2
15 Nice 3 0 2 1 1:4 2
16 Le Havre 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
17 Toulouse 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
18 Auxerre 3 0 0 3 4:11 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)