Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lyon vs Rennes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 1 Parc Olympique Lyonnais, Lyon
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Niakhate M.
7' Event
Nuamah E.
Assist: Tolisso C.
16'
Merlin Q.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Lyon and Rennes finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lyon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Lyon
15%
Draws
37%
Rennes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lyon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Lyon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Lyon taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Lyon Clean Sheet 15%
Rennes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lyon Rennes
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.86 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Ligue 1
Lyon vs Rennes
4:0
May 3, 2026 Ligue 1
Lyon vs Rennes
4:2
Sep 14, 2025 Ligue 1
Rennes vs Lyon
3:1
Apr 26, 2025 Ligue 1
Lyon vs Rennes
4:1
Aug 18, 2024 Ligue 1
Rennes vs Lyon
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lyon Compare

Top Goalscorer Nuamah E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Athekame Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Rennes Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lyon 35 / 100
Rennes 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lyon Rennes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rennes has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Lyon found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Lyon went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lyon VS Rennes
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lyon

(Home)
01 Nov
Lyon
2 : 0
Angers
26 Oct
PSG
2 : 0
Lyon
22 Oct
Hoffenheim
3 : 0
Lyon
18 Oct
Lyon
2 : 1
Nice
15 Oct
Lyon
3 : 2
Crystal Palace
Page 1 of 6

Rennes

(Away)
30 Oct
Nice
5 : 2
Rennes
25 Oct
Rennes
3 : 0
Strasbourg
22 Oct
Juventus
2 : 2
Rennes
18 Oct
Paris FC
4 : 3
Rennes
15 Oct
Rennes
2 : 1
OFI Crete
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 9 6 2 1 21:10 20
2 Lille 9 5 3 1 12:6 18
3 Lyon 9 5 2 2 15:7 17
4 Paris FC 9 5 2 2 16:10 17
5 Rennes 9 5 1 3 20:19 16
6 Marseille 9 5 0 4 20:13 15
7 Monaco 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
8 Nice 9 4 2 3 13:12 14
9 Lens 9 4 1 4 16:13 13
10 Brest 9 3 3 3 16:12 12
11 Lorient 9 3 3 3 7:8 12
12 Toulouse 9 2 4 3 12:13 10
13 Strasbourg 9 3 1 5 17:19 10
14 Auxerre 9 3 1 5 13:23 10
15 Angers 9 2 2 5 9:17 8
16 Troyes 9 2 2 5 7:16 8
17 Le Mans 9 1 4 4 11:18 7
18 Le Havre 9 0 2 7 9:20 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)