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Lyon vs Sparta Prague - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Champions League Parc Olympique Lyonnais, Lyon
Lyon Logo

Lyon

3 - 0
FT
Sparta Prague Logo

Sparta Prague

Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Nuamah E.
33'
Sevinsky A.
37'
Sub
Irving A. In: Zeleny J.
Out: Irving A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Lyon
20%
Draws
29%
Sparta Prague
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lyon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lyon lately — more wins on the board than Sparta Prague.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Lyon have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Lyon, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Lyon Clean Sheet 14%
Sparta Prague Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lyon Sparta Prague
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 16 15
Draws 4 3
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.86 2
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Champions League
Lyon vs Sparta Prague
3:0
Aug 4, 2026 Champions League
Sparta Prague vs Lyon
2:1
Nov 4, 2021 Europa League
Lyon vs Sparta Prague
3:0
Oct 21, 2021 Europa League
Sparta Prague vs Lyon
3:4
Nov 22, 2012 Europa League
Sparta Prague vs Lyon
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lyon Compare

Top Goalscorer Nuamah E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maitland-Niles A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sparta Prague Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lyon 35 / 100
Sparta Prague 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lyon Sparta Prague

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sparta Prague Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Lyon scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Sparta Prague has conceded goals in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Recent resilience: Lyon stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lyon VS Sparta Prague
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lyon

(Home)
01 Nov
Lyon
2 : 0
Angers
26 Oct
PSG
2 : 0
Lyon
22 Oct
Hoffenheim
3 : 0
Lyon
18 Oct
Lyon
2 : 1
Nice
15 Oct
Lyon
3 : 2
Crystal Palace
Page 1 of 6

Sparta Prague

(Away)
01 Nov
Bohemians 1905
0 : 0
Sparta Prague
28 Oct
Sparta Prague
0 : 2
Ostrava
25 Oct
Sparta Prague
5 : 1
Slovacko
22 Oct
Olympiacos Piraeus
1 : 0
Sparta Prague
18 Oct
Ostrava
0 : 0
Sparta Prague
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Borac Banja Luka 1
Levski Sofia 5
ML Vitebsk 1
Univ. Craiova 5
Omonia -
TBD -
Kairat Almaty 4
Sutjeska 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Thun -
TBD -
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Klaksvik 4
Bissen 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris 4
Drita 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps 4
Inter Escaldes 2
Flora 4
Iberia 1999 5
TBD -
Slovan Bratislava -
Ararat-Armenia 4
Riga FC 3
Floriana 3
Shamrock Rovers 5
Petrocub Hincesti 2
KF Egnatia 7
TBD -
Celje -
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Gyor 2
TBD -
H. Beer Sheva -
Tre Fiori 1
Larne 3
TBD -
Crvena zvezda -
Aarhus -
TBD -
TBD -
Lech Poznan -
Sabah FC 4
TNS 1
Vardar 3
KuPS 4
Fenerbahce -
TBD -
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
Sturm Graz -
TBD -
TBD -
Hearts -
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Olympiacos Piraeus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt -
Quarter-finals
Levski Sofia 3
Univ. Craiova 2
Omonia 1
Kairat Almaty 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Thun 3
Din. Zagreb 4
Klaksvik 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby 3
Lincoln Red Imps 0
Iberia 1999 1
Slovan Bratislava 3
Ararat-Armenia 3
Shamrock Rovers 2
KF Egnatia 5
Celje 6
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
H. Beer Sheva 3
Larne 0
Crvena zvezda 9
Aarhus 6
Lech Poznan 5
Sabah FC 3
KuPS 0
Fenerbahce 2
Gornik Zabrze 1
Sturm Graz 6
Hearts 0
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Olympiacos Piraeus -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt -
Semi-finals
Levski Sofia 2
Kairat Almaty 0
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Din. Zagreb 7
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby 1
Slovan Bratislava 4
Ararat-Armenia 2
Celje 3
H. Beer Sheva 3
Crvena zvezda 0
Aarhus 2
Sabah FC 5
Fenerbahce 3
Sturm Graz 0
Sparta Prague 2
Lyon 4
Olympiacos Piraeus 1
Nijmegen 2
Royale Union SG 5
Bodo/Glimt 6
Final
Levski Sofia 0
AEK 4
Celtic 4
LASK Linz 5
Din. Zagreb 3
Viking 5
Slovan Bratislava 3
Celje 2
H. Beer Sheva 4
Sabah FC 6
Fenerbahce 3
Lyon 2
Nijmegen 1
Bodo/Glimt 6