Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lyubimets 2007 vs Asenovets

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lyubimets 2007 in this Third League - South-East 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lyubimets 2007.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Lyubimets 2007
15%
Draws
64%
Asenovets
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Asenovets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Asenovets have won more games recently than Lyubimets 2007.
  • Lyubimets 2007 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Lyubimets 2007 Clean Sheet 20%
Asenovets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lyubimets 2007 Asenovets
Matches Played 30 41
Wins 9 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 23
Goals Scored 1.13 1.2
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2017 Third League - South-East
Lyubimets 2007 vs Asenovets
2:1
Oct 8, 2016 Third League - South-East
Asenovets vs Lyubimets 2007
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lyubimets 2007 40 / 100
Asenovets 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lyubimets 2007 Asenovets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lyubimets 2007 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Asenovets's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 41 matches.

Attacking prowess: Lyubimets 2007 scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Asenovets lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Asenovets
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lyubimets 2007

(Home)
27 May
Dimitrovgrad
3 : 0
Lyubimets 2007
20 May
Lyubimets 2007
0 : 7
Zagorets
13 May
Vereya 2
4 : 0
Lyubimets 2007
10 May
Lyubimets 2007
0 : 0
Borislav Parvomay
06 May
Maritsa Plovdiv
2 : 0
Lyubimets 2007
Page 1 of 6

Asenovets

(Away)
27 May
Nesebar
8 : 1
Asenovets
23 May
Asenovets
4 : 2
Rozova Dolina
16 May
Atletik Kuklen
2 : 1
Asenovets
13 May
Asenovets
0 : 2
Gigant Saedinenie
09 May
Maritsa Milevo
4 : 0
Asenovets
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorets 34 26 6 2 77:13 84
2 Maritsa Plovdiv 34 26 0 8 95:25 78
3 Karnobat 34 23 4 7 79:35 73
4 Rozova Dolina 34 20 4 10 69:38 64
5 Atletik Kuklen 34 15 8 11 58:44 53
6 Borislav Parvomay 34 14 8 12 60:48 50
7 Evrokolezh 34 14 4 16 64:65 46
8 Uragan Boyadzhik 34 13 6 15 55:66 45
9 Asenovets 34 13 5 16 50:56 44
10 Dimitrovgrad 34 12 7 15 35:39 43
11 Vereya 2 34 12 5 17 66:76 41
12 Svilengrad 1921 34 11 8 15 41:52 41
13 Gigant Saedinenie 34 12 5 17 51:71 41
14 Rakovski 2011 34 11 7 16 52:81 40
15 Radnevo 34 11 6 17 39:58 39
16 Arda 34 11 6 17 49:69 39
17 Lyubimets 2007 34 9 6 19 38:79 33
18 Elhovo 34 4 3 27 27:90 15
Promotion - Vtora liga 2017/2018 (Main)