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M. Herzliya vs Hapoel Hadera

Israel Israel

Leumit League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

M. Herzliya play Hapoel Hadera in the Leumit League 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, M. Herzliya averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Hapoel Hadera averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. In past meetings, M. Herzliya won 1, Hapoel Hadera won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 30, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for M. Herzliya and 1.25 for Hapoel Hadera. This points to a M. Herzliya double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
M. Herzliya
28%
Draws
25%
Hapoel Hadera
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: M. Herzliya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • M. Herzliya picked up more points recently compared to Hapoel Hadera.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
M. Herzliya Clean Sheet 19%
Hapoel Hadera Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric M. Herzliya Hapoel Hadera
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 5
Draws 8 10
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2026 Leumit League
M. Herzliya vs Hapoel Hadera
2:1
Nov 3, 2025 Leumit League
Hapoel Hadera vs M. Herzliya
2:2
Apr 5, 2018 Leumit League
Hapoel Hadera vs M. Herzliya
3:0
Dec 22, 2017 Leumit League
M. Herzliya vs Hapoel Hadera
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

M. Herzliya Compare

Top Goalscorer Frias A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Naim T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Hapoel Hadera Compare

Top Goalscorer Khoury B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

M. Herzliya 46 / 100
Hapoel Hadera 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
M. Herzliya Hapoel Hadera

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: M. Herzliya or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

M. Herzliya attacking → ← attacking Hapoel Hadera

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

M. Herzliya scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Hapoel Hadera let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

M. Herzliya went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Hapoel Hadera lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 25
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Maccabi Petah Tikva30179467:3260
2M. Herzliya30148845:3550
3Hapoel Ramat Gan30147948:3649
4H. Ironi Rishon30139843:3348
5Hapoel Kfar Shalem30138951:4747
6Yehuda301281034:3744
7Kiryat Yam301371043:3742
8Hapoel Kfar Saba301181138:3941
9H. Raanana301081229:3638
10Maccabi Jaffa301071350:5037
11Hapoel Afula30991232:4836
12MS Kafr Qasim308101234:3934
13Nof Hagalil306141037:4532
14Ironi Modiin30881430:4132
15Hapoel Akko306131132:4231
16Hapoel Hadera304111532:4823