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M. Herzliya vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem

Israel Israel

Leumit League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Konstantini S.
(Penalty)
38' Event
Sivilia G.
65' Event
Barzilay O.

AI Match Summary

The Leumit League 2025/2026 game between M. Herzliya and Hapoel Kfar Shalem finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward M. Herzliya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
M. Herzliya
33%
Draws
27%
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: M. Herzliya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and M. Herzliya come out ahead of Hapoel Kfar Shalem on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on M. Herzliya taking it.
  • Regular Leumit League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • M. Herzliya have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
M. Herzliya Clean Sheet 15%
Hapoel Kfar Shalem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric M. Herzliya Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 Leumit League
M. Herzliya vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem
4:2
Feb 6, 2026 Leumit League
M. Herzliya vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem
2:2
Oct 5, 2025 Leumit League
Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs M. Herzliya
0:2
Apr 7, 2025 Leumit League
Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs M. Herzliya
0:2
Feb 14, 2025 Leumit League
M. Herzliya vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

M. Herzliya Compare

Top Goalscorer Barzilay O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Yerushalmi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Hapoel Kfar Shalem Compare

Top Goalscorer Sivilia G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

M. Herzliya 39 / 100
Hapoel Kfar Shalem 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
M. Herzliya Hapoel Kfar Shalem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Hapoel Kfar Shalem conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: M. Herzliya scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

M. Herzliya has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

M. Herzliya VS Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

M. Herzliya

(Home)
25 May
Yehuda
1 : 1
M. Herzliya
20 May
M. Herzliya
1 : 1
Hapoel Kfar Saba
15 May
H. Ironi Rishon
1 : 2
M. Herzliya
08 May
M. Herzliya
0 : 3
Hapoel Ramat Gan
05 May
M. Herzliya
4 : 2
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
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Hapoel Kfar Shalem

(Away)
25 May
H. Ironi Rishon
2 : 6
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
20 May
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
2 : 1
Kiryat Yam
15 May
Hapoel Ramat Gan
2 : 1
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
08 May
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
0 : 1
Yehuda
05 May
M. Herzliya
4 : 2
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maccabi Petah Tikva371813677:4267
2Hapoel Ramat Gan371810959:4164
3M. Herzliya371711955:4462
4Yehuda3715121046:4457
5Hapoel Kfar Shalem371681367:6356
6Kiryat Yam371591348:4350
7Hapoel Kfar Saba3713111352:5050
8H. Ironi Rishon3713101450:5449
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