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M. Herzliya vs M. Nazareth - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Leumit League
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Balilti E.
49' Event
Abu Ahmed I.
73'
Welisson

AI Match Summary

The Leumit League game between M. Herzliya and M. Nazareth finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward M. Nazareth.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
M. Herzliya
20%
Draws
51%
M. Nazareth
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: M. Nazareth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • M. Herzliya carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
M. Herzliya Clean Sheet 20%
M. Nazareth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric M. Herzliya M. Nazareth
Matches Played 29 19
Wins 10 9
Draws 8 3
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.24 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 Leumit League
M. Herzliya vs M. Nazareth
1:2
Jan 9, 2018 Leumit League
M. Herzliya vs M. Nazareth
2:1
Aug 28, 2017 Leumit League
M. Nazareth vs M. Herzliya
2:0
Feb 17, 2017 Leumit League
M. Nazareth vs M. Herzliya
0:2
Nov 4, 2016 Leumit League
M. Herzliya vs M. Nazareth
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

M. Herzliya Compare

Top Goalscorer Apeh E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

M. Nazareth Compare

Top Goalscorer Balilti E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abu Ahmed I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

M. Herzliya 36 / 100
M. Nazareth 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
M. Herzliya M. Nazareth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick M. Nazareth Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

M. Herzliya's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: M. Nazareth conceded in 79% of 19 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

M. Herzliya went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

M. Herzliya VS M. Nazareth
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

M. Herzliya

(Home)
09 Oct
M. Herzliya
1 : 2
M. Nazareth
01 Oct
SC Ashdod
1 : 0
M. Herzliya
24 Sept
M. Herzliya
1 : 3
Kiryat Yam
17 Sept
Yehuda
1 : 1
M. Herzliya
14 Sept
M. Herzliya
1 : 0
MS Kafr Qasim
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M. Nazareth

(Away)
09 Oct
M. Herzliya
1 : 2
M. Nazareth
01 Oct
M. Nazareth
1 : 2
Ironi Modiin
24 Sept
H. Ironi Rishon
1 : 0
M. Nazareth
17 Sept
M. Nazareth
1 : 0
Hapoel Akko
10 Sept
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
3 : 3
M. Nazareth
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yehuda 9 7 2 0 20:7 23
2 SC Ashdod 8 7 0 1 18:6 21
3 H. Ironi Rishon 8 5 2 1 15:9 17
4 Hapoel Afula 9 5 2 2 18:13 17
5 Kiryat Yam 9 5 1 3 25:15 16
6 H. Raanana 8 5 0 3 19:11 15
7 Hapoel Kfar Shalem 8 4 2 2 17:17 14
8 MS Kafr Qasim 9 4 1 4 12:9 13
9 Maccabi Bnei Raina 9 4 1 4 13:13 13
10 M. Nazareth 9 3 1 5 10:13 10
11 Kiryat Gat 9 2 3 4 9:11 9
12 Ironi Modiin 9 2 2 5 13:17 8
13 M. Herzliya 9 2 2 5 9:13 8
14 Maccabi Jaffa 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
15 Hapoel Kfar Saba 8 2 0 6 9:20 6
16 Hapoel Akko 9 0 1 8 0:23 1
Promotion - Leumit League (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Leumit League (Relegation Group)