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M. Lipetsk vs SKA Khabarovsk 2

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Semin D.
66'
Kalmykov D.
66'
Kalmykov D.

AI Match Summary

M. Lipetsk host SKA Khabarovsk 2 in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: M. Lipetsk at 2.5 goals for, 1.25 against; SKA Khabarovsk 2 at 2.13 for, 2 against. Past meetings favor M. Lipetsk slightly — 2-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 4:0. The numbers (2.25 xG vs 1.69) point toward M. Lipetsk. M. Lipetsk in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
M. Lipetsk
6%
Draws
4%
SKA Khabarovsk 2
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: M. Lipetsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • M. Lipetsk has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to SKA Khabarovsk 2.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for M. Lipetsk.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
M. Lipetsk Clean Sheet 68%
SKA Khabarovsk 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric M. Lipetsk SKA Khabarovsk 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 2.5 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
M. Lipetsk vs SKA Khabarovsk 2
4:0
Oct 17, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
SKA Khabarovsk 2 vs M. Lipetsk
2:1
Jun 28, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
M. Lipetsk vs SKA Khabarovsk 2
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

M. Lipetsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Semin D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Agalakov V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

SKA Khabarovsk 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

M. Lipetsk 95 / 100
SKA Khabarovsk 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
M. Lipetsk SKA Khabarovsk 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MET Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

M. Lipetsk scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

SKA Khabarovsk 2 let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

M. Lipetsk went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

SKA Khabarovsk 2 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

M. Lipetsk VS SKA Khabarovsk 2
2.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%