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M. Nazareth vs Hapoel Akko Prediction & H2H Stats

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Leumit League
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Match Events

30' Event
Abu Ras M.
38'
Abu Ras M.
38'
Abu Ras M.

AI Match Summary

The Leumit League game between M. Nazareth and Hapoel Akko finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward M. Nazareth.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
M. Nazareth
15%
Draws
0%
Hapoel Akko
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: M. Nazareth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and M. Nazareth come out ahead of Hapoel Akko on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans M. Nazareth's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and M. Nazareth have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
M. Nazareth Clean Sheet 20%
Hapoel Akko Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric M. Nazareth Hapoel Akko
Matches Played 21 29
Wins 10 4
Draws 3 7
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 1.62 0.69
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 Leumit League
M. Nazareth vs Hapoel Akko
1:0
Jan 17, 2023 Leumit League
Hapoel Akko vs M. Nazareth
0:2
Sep 19, 2022 Leumit League
M. Nazareth vs Hapoel Akko
2:0
Apr 14, 2022 Leumit League
M. Nazareth vs Hapoel Akko
4:1
Jan 30, 2022 Leumit League
M. Nazareth vs Hapoel Akko
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

M. Nazareth Compare

Top Goalscorer Abu Ras M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Hapoel Akko Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

M. Nazareth 85 / 100
Hapoel Akko 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
M. Nazareth Hapoel Akko

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick M. Nazareth Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Akko's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

M. Nazareth found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (21 games).

Hapoel Akko has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

M. Nazareth VS Hapoel Akko
1 Goals Scored 0.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

M. Nazareth

(Home)
01 Oct
M. Nazareth
1 : 2
Ironi Modiin
24 Sept
H. Ironi Rishon
1 : 0
M. Nazareth
17 Sept
M. Nazareth
1 : 0
Hapoel Akko
10 Sept
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
3 : 3
M. Nazareth
06 Sept
M. Nazareth
1 : 2
Maccabi Bnei Raina
Page 1 of 5

Hapoel Akko

(Away)
01 Oct
Maccabi Jaffa
1 : 0
Hapoel Akko
24 Sept
Hapoel Akko
0 : 3
Hapoel Afula
17 Sept
M. Nazareth
1 : 0
Hapoel Akko
14 Sept
Hapoel Akko
0 : 4
SC Ashdod
06 Sept
Kiryat Yam
5 : 0
Hapoel Akko
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Ashdod 8 7 0 1 18:6 21
2 Yehuda 8 6 2 0 19:7 20
3 H. Ironi Rishon 8 5 2 1 15:9 17
4 Kiryat Yam 8 5 0 3 23:13 15
5 H. Raanana 8 5 0 3 19:11 15
6 Hapoel Afula 8 4 2 2 16:12 14
7 Hapoel Kfar Shalem 8 4 2 2 17:17 14
8 MS Kafr Qasim 8 4 1 3 12:8 13
9 Maccabi Bnei Raina 8 4 0 4 13:13 12
10 Kiryat Gat 8 2 2 4 7:9 8
11 Ironi Modiin 8 2 2 4 12:15 8
12 M. Herzliya 8 2 2 4 8:11 8
13 M. Nazareth 8 2 1 5 8:12 7
14 Maccabi Jaffa 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
15 Hapoel Kfar Saba 8 2 0 6 9:20 6
16 Hapoel Akko 8 0 0 8 0:23 0
Promotion - Leumit League (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Leumit League (Relegation Group)