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M. Nazareth vs Hapoel Kfar Saba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Leumit League
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

M. Nazareth host Hapoel Kfar Saba in the Leumit League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. M. Nazareth have averaged 1.5 scored and 1.61 conceded recently, against Hapoel Kfar Saba's 1.5 scored and 1.86 conceded. Head-to-head, M. Nazareth have won 4 to Hapoel Kfar Saba's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 10, 2023, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.75 - 1.44) back M. Nazareth to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
M. Nazareth
15%
Draws
36%
Hapoel Kfar Saba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: M. Nazareth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Hapoel Kfar Saba haven't matched M. Nazareth's recent run of results.
  • Model gives M. Nazareth a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Leumit League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors M. Nazareth here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
M. Nazareth Clean Sheet 16%
Hapoel Kfar Saba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric M. Nazareth Hapoel Kfar Saba
Matches Played 18 28
Wins 8 7
Draws 3 7
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2023 Leumit League
Hapoel Kfar Saba vs M. Nazareth
0:2
Dec 7, 2022 Leumit League
M. Nazareth vs Hapoel Kfar Saba
2:3
Mar 11, 2022 Leumit League
Hapoel Kfar Saba vs M. Nazareth
0:1
Dec 7, 2021 Leumit League
M. Nazareth vs Hapoel Kfar Saba
2:1
Mar 25, 2019 Leumit League
Hapoel Kfar Saba vs M. Nazareth
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

M. Nazareth 39 / 100
Hapoel Kfar Saba 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
M. Nazareth Hapoel Kfar Saba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick M. Nazareth Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Hapoel Kfar Saba conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

M. Nazareth found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (18 games).

Hapoel Kfar Saba's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

M. Nazareth VS Hapoel Kfar Saba
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

M. Nazareth

(Home)
01 Oct
M. Nazareth
1 : 2
Ironi Modiin
24 Sept
H. Ironi Rishon
1 : 0
M. Nazareth
17 Sept
M. Nazareth
1 : 0
Hapoel Akko
10 Sept
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
3 : 3
M. Nazareth
06 Sept
M. Nazareth
1 : 2
Maccabi Bnei Raina
Page 1 of 4

Hapoel Kfar Saba

(Away)
01 Oct
Kiryat Yam
2 : 0
Hapoel Kfar Saba
28 Sept
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1 : 2
Yehuda
17 Sept
MS Kafr Qasim
4 : 2
Hapoel Kfar Saba
10 Sept
Hapoel Kfar Saba
2 : 0
Kiryat Gat
06 Sept
H. Raanana
6 : 1
Hapoel Kfar Saba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Ashdod 8 7 0 1 18:6 21
2 Yehuda 8 6 2 0 19:7 20
3 H. Ironi Rishon 8 5 2 1 15:9 17
4 Kiryat Yam 8 5 0 3 23:13 15
5 H. Raanana 8 5 0 3 19:11 15
6 Hapoel Afula 8 4 2 2 16:12 14
7 Hapoel Kfar Shalem 8 4 2 2 17:17 14
8 MS Kafr Qasim 8 4 1 3 12:8 13
9 Maccabi Bnei Raina 8 4 0 4 13:13 12
10 Kiryat Gat 8 2 2 4 7:9 8
11 Ironi Modiin 8 2 2 4 12:15 8
12 M. Herzliya 8 2 2 4 8:11 8
13 M. Nazareth 8 2 1 5 8:12 7
14 Maccabi Jaffa 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
15 Hapoel Kfar Saba 8 2 0 6 9:20 6
16 Hapoel Akko 8 0 0 8 0:23 0
Promotion - Leumit League (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Leumit League (Relegation Group)