Sport Picks

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M. Nazareth vs Ironi Modiin

Israel Israel

Leumit League
Thu, Oct 1, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

M. Nazareth host Ironi Modiin in the Leumit League. This one's hard to separate. M. Nazareth have averaged 1.72 scored and 1.56 conceded recently, against Ironi Modiin's 0.93 scored and 1.14 conceded. Head-to-head, M. Nazareth have won 1 to Ironi Modiin's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 28, 2025, ending 1:3. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.44) point toward M. Nazareth. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
M. Nazareth
30%
Draws
29%
Ironi Modiin
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: M. Nazareth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • M. Nazareth have won more games recently than Ironi Modiin.
  • Model gives M. Nazareth a 41% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Leumit League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
M. Nazareth Clean Sheet 16%
Ironi Modiin Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric M. Nazareth Ironi Modiin
Matches Played 18 28
Wins 9 6
Draws 3 10
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.72 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2025 State Cup
Ironi Modiin vs M. Nazareth
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

M. Nazareth 57 / 100
Ironi Modiin 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
M. Nazareth Ironi Modiin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick M. Nazareth Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: M. Nazareth scored in 72% of their last 18 outings.

Defensive concern: Ironi Modiin conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

M. Nazareth went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

M. Nazareth VS Ironi Modiin
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

M. Nazareth

(Home)
17 Sept
M. Nazareth
1 : 0
Hapoel Akko
10 Sept
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
3 : 3
M. Nazareth
06 Sept
M. Nazareth
1 : 2
Maccabi Bnei Raina
30 Aug
Maccabi Jaffa
1 : 2
M. Nazareth
24 Aug
M. Nazareth
0 : 1
Hapoel Afula
Page 1 of 4

Ironi Modiin

(Away)
17 Sept
Kiryat Yam
3 : 2
Ironi Modiin
10 Sept
Ironi Modiin
2 : 4
Yehuda
07 Sept
MS Kafr Qasim
0 : 0
Ironi Modiin
30 Aug
Ironi Modiin
1 : 1
Kiryat Gat
23 Aug
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1 : 4
Ironi Modiin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Ashdod 6 5 0 1 14:5 15
2 Yehuda 6 4 2 0 15:5 14
3 H. Ironi Rishon 6 4 1 1 12:7 13
4 H. Raanana 6 4 0 2 16:8 12
5 Maccabi Bnei Raina 6 4 0 2 11:9 12
6 Hapoel Afula 6 3 1 2 11:10 10
7 Kiryat Yam 6 3 0 3 18:12 9
8 M. Herzliya 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
9 Kiryat Gat 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
10 Hapoel Kfar Shalem 6 2 2 2 12:15 8
11 MS Kafr Qasim 6 2 1 3 9:7 7
12 M. Nazareth 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
13 Hapoel Kfar Saba 6 2 0 4 8:16 6
14 Ironi Modiin 6 1 2 3 9:11 5
15 Maccabi Jaffa 6 1 0 5 5:14 3
16 Hapoel Akko 6 0 0 6 0:19 0
Promotion - Leumit League (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Leumit League (Relegation Group)