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M. Nazareth vs Maccabi Bnei Raina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Leumit League
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Barzilay O.
16' Event
Kanani A.
30'
Abed A.

AI Match Summary

The Leumit League game between M. Nazareth and Maccabi Bnei Raina finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maccabi Bnei Raina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
M. Nazareth
20%
Draws
40%
Maccabi Bnei Raina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Maccabi Bnei Raina come out ahead of M. Nazareth on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Leumit League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Maccabi Bnei Raina here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
M. Nazareth Clean Sheet 16%
Maccabi Bnei Raina Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric M. Nazareth Maccabi Bnei Raina
Matches Played 19 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 3 4
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.53 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Leumit League
M. Nazareth vs Maccabi Bnei Raina
1:2
Feb 25, 2022 Leumit League
Maccabi Bnei Raina vs M. Nazareth
2:1
Nov 26, 2021 Leumit League
M. Nazareth vs Maccabi Bnei Raina
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

M. Nazareth Compare

Top Goalscorer Sabah M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Maccabi Bnei Raina Compare

Top Goalscorer Barzilay O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kanani A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

M. Nazareth 36 / 100
Maccabi Bnei Raina 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
M. Nazareth Maccabi Bnei Raina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maccabi Bnei Raina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

M. Nazareth's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 19 recent games.

Defensive concern: Maccabi Bnei Raina conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: M. Nazareth stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

M. Nazareth VS Maccabi Bnei Raina
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

M. Nazareth

(Home)
09 Oct
M. Herzliya
1 : 2
M. Nazareth
01 Oct
M. Nazareth
1 : 2
Ironi Modiin
24 Sept
H. Ironi Rishon
1 : 0
M. Nazareth
17 Sept
M. Nazareth
1 : 0
Hapoel Akko
10 Sept
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
3 : 3
M. Nazareth
Page 1 of 4

Maccabi Bnei Raina

(Away)
09 Oct
Hapoel Akko
0 : 0
Maccabi Bnei Raina
01 Oct
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1 : 2
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
28 Sept
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1 : 2
H. Raanana
17 Sept
Maccabi Jaffa
0 : 2
Maccabi Bnei Raina
10 Sept
Maccabi Bnei Raina
4 : 2
Hapoel Afula
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yehuda 9 7 2 0 20:7 23
2 SC Ashdod 8 7 0 1 18:6 21
3 H. Ironi Rishon 8 5 2 1 15:9 17
4 Hapoel Afula 9 5 2 2 18:13 17
5 Kiryat Yam 9 5 1 3 25:15 16
6 H. Raanana 8 5 0 3 19:11 15
7 Hapoel Kfar Shalem 8 4 2 2 17:17 14
8 MS Kafr Qasim 9 4 1 4 12:9 13
9 Maccabi Bnei Raina 9 4 1 4 13:13 13
10 M. Nazareth 9 3 1 5 10:13 10
11 Kiryat Gat 9 2 3 4 9:11 9
12 Ironi Modiin 9 2 2 5 13:17 8
13 M. Herzliya 9 2 2 5 9:13 8
14 Maccabi Jaffa 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
15 Hapoel Kfar Saba 8 2 0 6 9:20 6
16 Hapoel Akko 9 0 1 8 0:23 1
Promotion - Leumit League (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Leumit League (Relegation Group)