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Maardu Linnameeskond vs Elva - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga
Thu, Oct 29, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Maardu Linnameeskond host Elva in the Esiliiga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Elva have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Maardu Linnameeskond have conceded 1.57 and scored 1.43. Head-to-head, Maardu Linnameeskond have won 0 to Elva's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Oct 29, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.06 - 0.94) back Elva to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Maardu Linnameeskond
15%
Draws
85%
Elva
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Elva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Elva come out ahead of Maardu Linnameeskond on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Maardu Linnameeskond's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Esiliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Maardu Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 20%
Elva Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maardu Linnameeskond Elva
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 15
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.43 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2026 Esiliiga
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Elva
0:0
Aug 20, 2026 Esiliiga
Elva vs Maardu Linnameeskond
1:0
Jun 11, 2026 Esiliiga
Elva vs Maardu Linnameeskond
4:3
Mar 12, 2026 Esiliiga
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Elva
0:3
Oct 14, 2021 Esiliiga
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Elva
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maardu Linnameeskond 49 / 100
Elva 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maardu Linnameeskond Elva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maardu Linnameeskond Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maardu Linnameeskond found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (25 games).

Elva let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Elva's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Maardu Linnameeskond VS Elva
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Maardu Linnameeskond

(Home)
19 Oct
Maardu Linnameeskond
:
Flora Tallinn U21
15 Oct
Viimsi JK
:
Maardu Linnameeskond
11 Oct
Maardu Linnameeskond
:
Kalju U21
19 Sept
Levadia U21
:
Maardu Linnameeskond
13 Sept
Maardu Linnameeskond
:
Tallinna Kalev
Page 1 of 6

Elva

(Away)
09 Oct
Tartu JK Welco
4 : 0
Elva
24 Sept
Elva
3 : 2
Tallinna Kalev
19 Sept
Elva
1 : 1
FC Tallinn
13 Sept
Flora Tallinn U21
1 : 2
Elva
10 Sept
Viimsi JK
5 : 0
Elva
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 32 21 5 6 85:39 68
2 Viimsi JK 32 17 5 10 58:32 56
3 Flora Tallinn U21 32 15 6 11 73:55 51
4 Elva 32 15 6 11 47:48 51
5 Levadia U21 31 15 2 14 61:55 47
6 Tallinna Kalev 31 11 7 13 53:57 40
7 Nomme Utd U21 32 11 6 15 50:63 39
8 FC Tallinn 31 9 8 14 41:64 35
9 Kalju U21 31 7 4 20 38:79 25
10 Maardu Linnameeskond 36 12 5 19 45:59 41
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)