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Maardu Linnameeskond vs Flora Tallinn U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Maardu linnastaadion
Thu, Jul 9, 2026
2 - 1
04:00 PM
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AI Match Summary

Maardu Linnameeskond play Flora Tallinn U21 in the Esiliiga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Maardu Linnameeskond averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Flora Tallinn U21 averaged 2.75 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. In past meetings, Maardu Linnameeskond won 1, Flora Tallinn U21 won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 1, 2026 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Maardu Linnameeskond and 2.19 for Flora Tallinn U21. This points to a Flora Tallinn U21 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Maardu Linnameeskond
20%
Draws
38%
Flora Tallinn U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Maardu Linnameeskond

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Flora Tallinn U21 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Maardu Linnameeskond.
  • Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for Maardu Linnameeskond.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Esiliiga provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Maardu Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 10%
Flora Tallinn U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maardu Linnameeskond Flora Tallinn U21
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 10 5
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.25 2.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Esiliiga
Flora Tallinn U21 vs Maardu Linnameeskond
5:0
Feb 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Flora Tallinn U21
0:0
Oct 30, 2021 Esiliiga
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Flora Tallinn U21
0:0
Sep 15, 2021 Esiliiga
Flora Tallinn U21 vs Maardu Linnameeskond
1:8
Aug 20, 2021 Esiliiga
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Flora Tallinn U21
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maardu Linnameeskond Compare

Top Goalscorer Volkov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kouadio E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Flora Tallinn U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maardu Linnameeskond 40 / 100
Flora Tallinn U21 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maardu Linnameeskond Flora Tallinn U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maardu Linnameeskond scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Flora Tallinn U21 let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Maardu Linnameeskond went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Flora Tallinn U21 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maardu Linnameeskond VS Flora Tallinn U21
1.25 Goals Scored 2.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 88%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tartu JK Welco18133254:2342
2Viimsi JK1794428:1431
3Flora Tallinn U211693442:3130
4Elva1873831:3224
5Tallinna Kalev1864835:3622
6Levadia U2118701134:3321
7Maardu Linnameeskond1755723:3620
8Nomme Utd U211754834:4119
9Kalju U211753928:4218
10FC Tallinn1845925:4617