Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maardu Linnameeskond vs Flora Tallinn U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Maardu linnastaadion
Thu, Jul 9, 2026
2 - 1
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Maardu Linnameeskond play Flora Tallinn U21 in the Esiliiga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Maardu Linnameeskond averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. Flora Tallinn U21 averaged 1.97 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Maardu Linnameeskond won 1, Flora Tallinn U21 won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 1, 2026 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Maardu Linnameeskond and 2.19 for Flora Tallinn U21. This points to a Flora Tallinn U21 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Maardu Linnameeskond
30%
Draws
36%
Flora Tallinn U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Flora Tallinn U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Maardu Linnameeskond picked up more points recently compared to Flora Tallinn U21.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 2.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%
Maardu Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 10%
Flora Tallinn U21 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maardu Linnameeskond Flora Tallinn U21
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 10 5
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.6 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.87 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Esiliiga
Flora Tallinn U21 vs Maardu Linnameeskond
5:0
Feb 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Flora Tallinn U21
0:0
Oct 30, 2021 Esiliiga
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Flora Tallinn U21
0:0
Sep 15, 2021 Esiliiga
Flora Tallinn U21 vs Maardu Linnameeskond
1:8
Aug 20, 2021 Esiliiga
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Flora Tallinn U21
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maardu Linnameeskond Compare

Top Goalscorer Volkov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kouadio E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Flora Tallinn U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maardu Linnameeskond 33 / 100
Flora Tallinn U21 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maardu Linnameeskond Flora Tallinn U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Flora Tallinn U21 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Maardu Linnameeskond attacking → ← attacking Flora Tallinn U21

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maardu Linnameeskond scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Flora Tallinn U21 let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Maardu Linnameeskond went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Flora Tallinn U21 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 44
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 2.75
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tartu JK Welco18133254:2342
2Viimsi JK1794428:1431
3Flora Tallinn U211693442:3130
4Elva1873831:3224
5Tallinna Kalev1864835:3622
6Levadia U2118701134:3321
7Maardu Linnameeskond1755723:3620
8Nomme Utd U211754834:4119
9Kalju U211753928:4218
10FC Tallinn1845925:4617