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Maardu Linnameeskond vs Kalju U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Maardu linnastaadion, Maardu
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Volkov A.
32' Event
Godwin C.
67' Event
Volkov A.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga game between Maardu Linnameeskond and Kalju U21 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maardu Linnameeskond.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Maardu Linnameeskond
15%
Draws
17%
Kalju U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maardu Linnameeskond

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Maardu Linnameeskond come out ahead of Kalju U21 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Maardu Linnameeskond a 68% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Maardu Linnameeskond have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Maardu Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 20%
Kalju U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maardu Linnameeskond Kalju U21
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 1.61 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.96 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Esiliiga
Kalju U21 vs Maardu Linnameeskond
1:4
Jun 18, 2026 Esiliiga
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Kalju U21
2:1
Apr 18, 2026 Esiliiga
Kalju U21 vs Maardu Linnameeskond
3:2
Feb 16, 2025 Club Friendly
Kalju U21 vs Maardu Linnameeskond
0:4
Oct 6, 2018 Esiliiga
Kalju U21 vs Maardu Linnameeskond
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maardu Linnameeskond Compare

Top Goalscorer Volkov A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Kalju U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Godwin C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maardu Linnameeskond 85 / 100
Kalju U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maardu Linnameeskond Kalju U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maardu Linnameeskond Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maardu Linnameeskond scored in 81% of their last 27 games.

Kalju U21 let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Maardu Linnameeskond has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Maardu Linnameeskond VS Kalju U21
2.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Maardu Linnameeskond

(Home)
19 Sept
Levadia U21
:
Maardu Linnameeskond
06 Sept
Maardu Linnameeskond
2 : 1
Nomme Utd U21
29 Aug
Maardu Linnameeskond
4 : 2
Levadia U21
24 Aug
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 3
Maardu Linnameeskond
20 Aug
Elva
1 : 0
Maardu Linnameeskond
Page 1 of 6

Kalju U21

(Away)
21 Sept
Kalju U21
2 : 3
Nomme Utd U21
14 Sept
Tartu JK Welco
3 : 0
Kalju U21
10 Sept
Kalju U21
1 : 5
Flora Tallinn U21
06 Sept
Elva
1 : 0
Kalju U21
29 Aug
FC Tallinn
0 : 2
Kalju U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 30 19 5 6 81:39 62
2 Viimsi JK 30 15 5 10 56:31 50
3 Flora Tallinn U21 30 14 6 10 72:53 48
4 Elva 30 14 6 10 47:44 48
5 Maardu Linnameeskond 27 12 5 10 45:55 41
6 Levadia U21 29 13 2 14 60:55 41
7 Tallinna Kalev 29 10 7 12 52:55 37
8 Nomme Utd U21 30 10 6 14 50:62 36
9 FC Tallinn 29 7 8 14 35:63 29
10 Kalju U21 30 6 4 20 38:79 22
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)