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Maardu Linnameeskond vs Levadia U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Maardu linnastaadion, Maardu
Maardu Linnameeskond Logo

Maardu Linnameeskond

4 - 2
FT
Levadia U21 Logo

Levadia U21

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Zakarlyuka A.
Assist: Domov P.
22' Event
Volkov A.
Assist: Kouadio E.
29' Event
Liiv H.
Assist: Gurin G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga game between Maardu Linnameeskond and Levadia U21 finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maardu Linnameeskond.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Maardu Linnameeskond
15%
Draws
34%
Levadia U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maardu Linnameeskond

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Maardu Linnameeskond come out ahead of Levadia U21 on wins alone.
  • Maardu Linnameeskond are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • History favors Maardu Linnameeskond here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Maardu Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 10%
Levadia U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maardu Linnameeskond Levadia U21
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 14 13
Draws 7 2
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.65 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.84 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Esiliiga
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Levadia U21
4:2
May 16, 2026 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs Maardu Linnameeskond
1:2
Apr 11, 2026 Esiliiga
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Levadia U21
3:2
Jan 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Levadia U21
2:3
Oct 23, 2021 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs Maardu Linnameeskond
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maardu Linnameeskond Compare

Top Goalscorer Volkov A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tsurilkin V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Levadia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Zakarlyuka A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Liiv H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maardu Linnameeskond 83 / 100
Levadia U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maardu Linnameeskond Levadia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maardu Linnameeskond Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Maardu Linnameeskond scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Levadia U21 has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Maardu Linnameeskond has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Maardu Linnameeskond VS Levadia U21
2 Goals Scored 2.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Maardu Linnameeskond

(Home)
29 Aug
Maardu Linnameeskond
4 : 2
Levadia U21
24 Aug
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 3
Maardu Linnameeskond
20 Aug
Elva
1 : 0
Maardu Linnameeskond
15 Aug
Maardu Linnameeskond
1 : 0
FC Tallinn
08 Aug
Maardu Linnameeskond
1 : 2
Viimsi JK
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Levadia U21

(Away)
29 Aug
Maardu Linnameeskond
4 : 2
Levadia U21
23 Aug
Levadia U21
2 : 1
FC Tallinn
20 Aug
Tartu JK Welco
4 : 2
Levadia U21
15 Aug
Viimsi JK
5 : 0
Levadia U21
08 Aug
Nomme Utd U21
1 : 2
Levadia U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 26 17 3 6 75:38 54
2 Viimsi JK 26 14 5 7 50:26 47
3 Flora Tallinn U21 26 13 5 8 62:42 44
4 Elva 26 12 5 9 43:37 41
5 Maardu Linnameeskond 26 11 5 10 43:54 38
6 Tallinna Kalev 26 10 5 11 48:50 35
7 Levadia U21 26 11 1 14 49:52 34
8 Nomme Utd U21 26 7 6 13 43:57 27
9 FC Tallinn 26 6 7 13 31:56 25
10 Kalju U21 26 6 4 16 35:67 22
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)