Sport Picks
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Tallinna Kalev
Estonia
Esiliiga Maardu linnastaadion, Maardu 
AI Match Summary
Maardu Linnameeskond host Tallinna Kalev in the Esiliiga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Maardu Linnameeskond have averaged 1.61 scored and 1.96 conceded recently, against Tallinna Kalev's 2.24 scored and 1.79 conceded. Past meetings favor Maardu Linnameeskond slightly — 1-0-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 13, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.75 - 1.81) back Maardu Linnameeskond to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Maardu Linnameeskond carry the better recent record into this one.
- 69% — that's where the model lands on Maardu Linnameeskond taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Maardu Linnameeskond | Tallinna Kalev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 2.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.96 | 1.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Maardu Linnameeskond scored in 81% of their last 27 outings.
Tallinna Kalev's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Maardu Linnameeskond went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Maardu Linnameeskond
(Home)Tallinna Kalev
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu JK Welco | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 81:39 | 62 |
| 2 | Viimsi JK | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 56:31 | 50 |
| 3 | Flora Tallinn U21 | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 72:53 | 48 |
| 4 | Elva | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 47:44 | 48 |
| 5 | Maardu Linnameeskond | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 45:55 | 41 |
| 6 | Levadia U21 | 29 | 13 | 2 | 14 | 60:55 | 41 |
| 7 | Tallinna Kalev | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 52:55 | 37 |
| 8 | Nomme Utd U21 | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 50:62 | 36 |
| 9 | FC Tallinn | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 35:63 | 29 |
| 10 | Kalju U21 | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 38:79 | 22 |
