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Maardu Linnameeskond vs Viimsi JK

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Maardu linnastaadion
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Tsombaljuk S.
Assist: Volkov A.
90'
Lebedev D.
90'
Lebedev D.

AI Match Summary

Maardu Linnameeskond in this Esiliiga matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maardu Linnameeskond.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Maardu Linnameeskond
44%
Draws
20%
Viimsi JK
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Viimsi JK lately — more wins on the board than Maardu Linnameeskond.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Maardu Linnameeskond here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Maardu Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 15%
Viimsi JK Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maardu Linnameeskond Viimsi JK
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 13
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.75 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2026 Esiliiga
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Viimsi JK
1:0
Apr 26, 2026 Esiliiga
Viimsi JK vs Maardu Linnameeskond
1:1
Aug 11, 2020 Estonian Cup
Viimsi JK vs Maardu Linnameeskond
1:2
Sep 10, 2015 Esiliiga B
Viimsi JK vs Maardu Linnameeskond
2:4
Sep 1, 2015 Esiliiga B
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Viimsi JK
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maardu Linnameeskond Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsombaljuk S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Viimsi JK Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maardu Linnameeskond 35 / 100
Viimsi JK 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maardu Linnameeskond Viimsi JK

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VII Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maardu Linnameeskond scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Viimsi JK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Maardu Linnameeskond stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maardu Linnameeskond VS Viimsi JK
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tartu JK Welco19143262:2445
2Viimsi JK1995531:1932
3Flora Tallinn U211894545:3531
4Elva2093837:3330
5Levadia U2119801137:3524
6Maardu Linnameeskond1965827:4623
7Tallinna Kalev1964937:3922
8Nomme Utd U211855835:4220
9Kalju U211854930:4419
10FC Tallinn19451025:4917