Sport Picks
Maardu United vs Sillamae Kalev
Estonia
Estonian Cup 2016/2017 
Match Events
4'
4'
Paponov M.
(Penalty)
22'
22'
La Vecchia A.
33'
33'
Gretsits N.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Estonian Cup 2016/2017 game between Maardu United and Sillamae Kalev finished 2-10, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sillamae Kalev.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
17%
13%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Maardu United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Sillamae Kalev come out ahead of Maardu United on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Maardu United's way, sitting at 70%.
- Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Maardu United Clean Sheet 17%
Sillamae Kalev Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Maardu United | Sillamae Kalev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 9 | 28 |
| Wins | 4 | 10 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0 | 2.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2016 Estonian Cup
Maardu United vs Sillamae Kalev
2:10
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Maardu United Compare
Top Goalscorer Javljanski J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0
Sillamae Kalev Compare
Top Goalscorer Paponov M.
4 Goals Assists Leader Aidara K.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Maardu United 66 / 100
Sillamae Kalev 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Maardu United Sillamae Kalev
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Maardu United scored in 86% of their last 7 games.
H2H data points to 12.00 goals as a typical output.
Sillamae Kalev let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
Away concern: Sillamae Kalev has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Maardu United VS Sillamae Kalev
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Tulevik4
Tallinna Kalev III0
TBD-
Loo JK-
Maardu United-
TBD-
Roosu-
Sillamae Kalev-
Tartu Ulikool-
TBD-
TBD-
Tallinna Jalgpalliselts-
Castovanni Eagles-
Pedajamae-
TBD-
SK EPMU Tartu-
Rumori Calcio-
TBD-
Zenit Tallinn4
Merkuur Tartu6
Vastseliina Tannem2
Koeru0
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool1
Kadakas2
Levadia Tallinn III8
Raudteetoolised0
Fellin0
Keila JK1
Laanemaa Haapsalu-
TBD-
Santos Tartu0
Tammeka Tartu2
Tallinna Kalev14
Paduvere SK Illi0
IceBears0
Elva13
JK Jalgpallihaigla-
TBD-
Helios2
SK Taaksi3
Flora U192
Puhkus Mehhikos0
TBD-
Johvi Phoenix-
Imavere Forss-
TBD-
Lelle1
Molycorp Silmet6
FCI Tallinn II6
Tallinna Depoo0
TBD-
Viimsi JK 2-
Jogeva Wolves7
Reaal0
TBD-
Saue JK Laagri-
Rakvere13
FC Sssolutions0
Tabasalu1
Maardu Linnameeskond2
Nomme Utd24
Oismae Torm0
TBD-
Paide Linnameeskond-
Kalju8
Tallinn Forza0
TBD-
Narva-
Kose-
TBD-
Enamasti Pealekata0
JK Poseidon7
Torva JK-
TBD-
Castovanni Eagles 20
Ambla4
Tartu JK Welco6
Igiliikur0
FCP Parnu0
Flora11
Levadia-
TBD-
Tammeka Tartu II1
Parnu Linnameeskond4
Raplamaa4
Rada Kuusalu0
TBD-
Raasiku Joker-
FC Tartu-
TBD-
Kaitseliit-
Eston Villa-
Tallinn Piraaja11
Tallinna Wolves1
TBD-
FCI Tallinn-
Narva United2
Otepaa1
FC Ararat-
Jarva-Jaani-
TransferWise3
Olympic Tallinn2
TBD-
Viimsi JK-
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve3
Kohtla-Nomme0
Valga Warrior0
Twister Tallinn7
Kalju III-
TBD-
TBD-
Flora Tallinn U21-
Marjamaa4
Navi Vutiselts0
TBD-
Kivioli Irbis-
Jogeva-
TBD-
Pirita1
Terav Sats2
Legion-
TBD-
TBD-
Ganvix Turi-
Soccernet8
Jogeva Wolves II1
Vaatsa Vald-
Kuressaare-
1/32-finals
Tulevik13
Loo JK0
Maardu United2
Sillamae Kalev10
Tartu Ulikool3
Tallinna Jalgpalliselts0
Castovanni Eagles0
SK EPMU Tartu1
Rumori Calcio4
Merkuur Tartu3
Vastseliina Tannem3
Kadakas5
Levadia Tallinn III4
Keila JK1
Laanemaa Haapsalu0
Tammeka Tartu3
Tallinna Kalev3
Elva2
JK Jalgpallihaigla0
SK Taaksi5
Flora U192
Johvi Phoenix1
Imavere Forss0
Molycorp Silmet2
FCI Tallinn II5
Viimsi JK 20
Jogeva Wolves1
Saue JK Laagri6
Rakvere5
Maardu Linnameeskond1
Nomme Utd0
Paide Linnameeskond1
Kalju2
Narva0
Kose0
JK Poseidon2
Torva JK5
Ambla2
Tartu JK Welco0
Flora8
Levadia4
Parnu Linnameeskond2
Raplamaa3
Raasiku Joker4
FC Tartu5
Eston Villa4
Tallinn Piraaja0
FCI Tallinn9
Narva United4
Jarva-Jaani1
TransferWise1
Viimsi JK6
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve-
Twister Tallinn-
Kalju III0
Flora Tallinn U215
Marjamaa-
Kivioli Irbis-
Jogeva0
Terav Sats3
Legion1
Ganvix Turi0
Soccernet1
Kuressaare5
1/16-finals
Tulevik1
Sillamae Kalev0
Tartu Ulikool4
SK EPMU Tartu6
Rumori Calcio4
Kadakas3
Levadia Tallinn III1
Tammeka Tartu8
Tallinna Kalev5
SK Taaksi0
Flora U195
Molycorp Silmet6
FCI Tallinn II3
Saue JK Laagri0
Rakvere2
Paide Linnameeskond3
Kalju10
JK Poseidon0
Torva JK0
Flora5
Levadia7
Raasiku Joker0
FC Tartu0
FCI Tallinn11
Narva United1
Viimsi JK0
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve0
Flora Tallinn U212
Marjamaa2
Terav Sats0
Legion2
Kuressaare3
1/8-finals
Tulevik5
SK EPMU Tartu0
Rumori Calcio1
Tammeka Tartu5
Tallinna Kalev11
Molycorp Silmet0
FCI Tallinn II1
Paide Linnameeskond4
Kalju1
Flora0
Levadia1
FCI Tallinn2
Narva United3
Flora Tallinn U211
Marjamaa0
Kuressaare5
Quarter-finals
Tulevik0
Tammeka Tartu1
Tallinna Kalev0
Paide Linnameeskond3
Kalju1
FCI Tallinn2
Narva United3
Kuressaare1
Semi-finals
Tammeka Tartu1
Paide Linnameeskond0
FCI Tallinn2
Narva United0
Final
Tammeka Tartu0
FCI Tallinn2