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Maastricht vs FC Volendam - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie De Geusselt, Maastricht
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Haakmat J.
46'
Sub
Haakmat J. In: Bisschops D.
Out: Haakmat J.
51'
Huisman D.

AI Match Summary

The Eerste Divisie game between Maastricht and FC Volendam finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maastricht.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Maastricht
15%
Draws
64%
FC Volendam
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Volendam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • FC Volendam carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives FC Volendam a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Maastricht Clean Sheet 10%
FC Volendam Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maastricht FC Volendam
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 9 4
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.17 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Maastricht vs FC Volendam
1:0
Jan 24, 2025 Eerste Divisie
FC Volendam vs Maastricht
3:1
Sep 13, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Maastricht vs FC Volendam
2:2
Jan 21, 2022 Eerste Divisie
Maastricht vs FC Volendam
0:1
Aug 27, 2021 Eerste Divisie
FC Volendam vs Maastricht
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maastricht 10 / 100
FC Volendam 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maastricht FC Volendam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Volendam Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:6
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maastricht scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

FC Volendam's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Maastricht stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maastricht VS FC Volendam
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Maastricht

(Home)
09 Oct
NAC Breda
1 : 0
Maastricht
03 Oct
TOP Oss
4 : 1
Maastricht
26 Sept
Maastricht
2 : 0
Helmond Sport
18 Sept
Waalwijk
6 : 1
Maastricht
11 Sept
Maastricht
0 : 4
Almere City
Page 1 of 6

FC Volendam

(Away)
09 Oct
FC Volendam
2 : 0
Vitesse
03 Oct
Almere City
1 : 0
FC Volendam
26 Sept
FC Volendam
3 : 2
Venlo
18 Sept
Jong AZ Alkmaar
4 : 1
FC Volendam
13 Sept
FC Volendam
2 : 0
Den Bosch
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 10 8 1 1 31:12 25
2 Almere City 10 7 1 2 22:7 22
3 Venlo 10 7 0 3 26:14 21
4 FC Emmen 10 6 1 3 22:18 19
5 NAC Breda 10 5 2 3 20:19 17
6 Roda 10 4 4 2 10:8 16
7 Maastricht 10 5 1 4 13:20 16
8 FC Volendam 10 5 0 5 22:17 15
9 Waalwijk 10 3 5 2 19:15 14
10 Vitesse 10 4 2 4 15:15 14
11 Jong AZ Alkmaar 10 4 1 5 22:18 13
12 Jong PSV 10 3 4 3 15:17 13
13 TOP Oss 10 4 0 6 15:15 12
14 Den Bosch 10 3 2 5 14:18 11
15 Eindhoven FC 10 3 2 5 15:22 11
16 De Graafschap 10 3 2 5 13:23 11
17 Helmond Sport 10 2 3 5 16:19 9
18 Jong Ajax 10 2 2 6 13:25 8
19 Dordrecht 10 2 2 6 13:27 8
20 Jong Utrecht 10 2 1 7 16:23 7
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)