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Maastricht vs Helmond Sport

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 De Geusselt
Our Tip

Match Events

62'
Sub
Asante D. In: Verheijen T.
Out: Asante D.
65'
Sub
Beydts A. In: Sy K.
Out: Beydts A.
66'
Sub
Geerts J. In: Lukowicz M.
Out: Geerts J.

AI Match Summary

The Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 game between Maastricht and Helmond Sport finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Maastricht
6%
Draws
4%
Helmond Sport
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Maastricht

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Helmond Sport haven't matched Maastricht's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Maastricht taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Maastricht Clean Sheet 20%
Helmond Sport Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maastricht Helmond Sport
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 4
Draws 9 9
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 0.88 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Maastricht vs Helmond Sport
0:0
Dec 5, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Helmond Sport vs Maastricht
2:4
Mar 7, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Helmond Sport vs Maastricht
4:0
Oct 27, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Maastricht vs Helmond Sport
1:2
Apr 5, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Maastricht vs Helmond Sport
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maastricht 85 / 100
Helmond Sport 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maastricht Helmond Sport

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Helmond Sport's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Maastricht has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Helmond Sport has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Maastricht VS Helmond Sport
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Den Haag38292790:3789
2Cambuur38239675:4878
3Willem II382081059:4268
4De Graafschap381891174:5863
5Almere City381841678:6358
6Waalwijk3816101271:5958
7Jong PSV381751666:6456
8Roda3814131159:5455
9Den Bosch381491565:6951
10Dordrecht3812111548:5647
11Eindhoven FC381451951:6947
12Jong Utrecht3812101658:6246
13Venlo381361950:5845
14FC Emmen381291758:7245
15Vitesse3815111264:5544
16TOP Oss3811111654:6444
17Jong AZ Alkmaar381242261:7640
18Helmond Sport381091942:6239
19Maastricht389111841:7338
20Jong Ajax38982150:7335