Sport Picks
Maastricht vs Helmond Sport - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie De Geusselt, Maastricht 
Match Events
49'
49'
Dumont O.
Assist: Sierra E.
50'
50'
Sub
Daneels L. In: Zimuangana O.
Out: Daneels L.
56'
56'
Dumont O.
AI Match Summary
Maastricht in this Eerste Divisie matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maastricht.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Helmond Sport
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Maastricht lately — more wins on the board than Helmond Sport.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Maastricht Clean Sheet 10%
Helmond Sport Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Maastricht | Helmond Sport |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 5 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.11 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Maastricht vs Helmond Sport
2:0
Apr 10, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Maastricht vs Helmond Sport
0:0
Dec 5, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Helmond Sport vs Maastricht
2:4
Mar 7, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Helmond Sport vs Maastricht
4:0
Oct 27, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Maastricht vs Helmond Sport
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Maastricht Compare
Top Goalscorer Dumont O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sierra E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Helmond Sport Compare
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Maastricht 30 / 100
Helmond Sport 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Maastricht Helmond Sport
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Helmond Sport Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Helmond Sport conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.
Maastricht scored in 64% of their last 28 games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Helmond Sport lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Maastricht VS Helmond Sport
1 Goals Scored 1.75
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Maastricht
(Home) 31 Oct
Maastricht
1 : 2 Venlo
28 Oct
Maastricht
0 : 3 Excelsior
23 Oct
Den Bosch
2 : 2 Maastricht
18 Oct
Maastricht
1 : 5 Heracles
09 Oct
NAC Breda
1 : 0 Maastricht
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Maastricht
1 : 2 Venlo
28 Oct
Maastricht
0 : 3 Excelsior
18 Oct
Maastricht
1 : 5 Heracles
26 Sept
Maastricht
2 : 0 Helmond Sport
11 Sept
Maastricht
0 : 4 Almere City
Page 1 of 3
Helmond Sport
(Away) 06 Nov
Helmond Sport
2 : 3 FC Volendam
30 Oct
Helmond Sport
3 : 2 Eindhoven FC
27 Oct
Helmond Sport
3 : 4 Willem II
23 Oct
Jong AZ Alkmaar
5 : 4 Helmond Sport
16 Oct
Helmond Sport
0 : 2 NAC Breda
Page 1 of 6
23 Oct
Jong AZ Alkmaar
5 : 4 Helmond Sport
09 Oct
TOP Oss
3 : 1 Helmond Sport
26 Sept
Maastricht
2 : 0 Helmond Sport
18 Sept
Den Bosch
2 : 1 Helmond Sport
28 Aug
Jong Ajax
3 : 2 Helmond Sport
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 44:15 | 35 |
| 2 | Venlo | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 37:22 | 29 |
| 3 | Almere City | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 30:14 | 28 |
| 4 | FC Emmen | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 26:24 | 25 |
| 5 | NAC Breda | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25:20 | 25 |
| 6 | Roda | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 18:17 | 25 |
| 7 | FC Volendam | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 33:24 | 22 |
| 8 | Den Bosch | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24:22 | 19 |
| 9 | Vitesse | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | 18 |
| 10 | Maastricht | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 17:29 | 17 |
| 11 | Waalwijk | 14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 23:20 | 17 |
| 12 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 33:31 | 17 |
| 13 | Jong PSV | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18:22 | 17 |
| 14 | Jong Ajax | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 22:30 | 16 |
| 15 | De Graafschap | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17:27 | 15 |
| 16 | TOP Oss | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 20:23 | 14 |
| 17 | Helmond Sport | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 25:31 | 12 |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 18:34 | 12 |
| 19 | Jong Utrecht | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 23:34 | 11 |
| 20 | Eindhoven FC | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 18:31 | 11 |
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
