Sport Picks
Maastricht vs Helmond Sport
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie De Geusselt, Maastricht 
AI Match Summary
Maastricht host Helmond Sport in the Eerste Divisie. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Maastricht have averaged 1.22 scored and 1.88 conceded recently, against Helmond Sport's 0.97 scored and 1.63 conceded. Past meetings favor Maastricht slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 10, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.88, favoring Maastricht. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Maastricht lately — more wins on the board than Helmond Sport.
- Model gives Helmond Sport a 51% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Maastricht | Helmond Sport |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 6 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.22 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.88 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Helmond Sport conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Maastricht scored in 66% of their last 32 games.
Maastricht went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Maastricht
(Home)Helmond Sport
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 24:10 | 18 |
| 2 | Almere City | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:4 | 16 |
| 3 | Venlo | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 19:11 | 15 |
| 4 | Waalwijk | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 18:9 | 13 |
| 5 | Maastricht | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:15 | 13 |
| 6 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 22:17 | 13 |
| 7 | Roda | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | 12 |
| 8 | FC Emmen | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 17:17 | 12 |
| 9 | Jong PSV | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:13 | 12 |
| 10 | Vitesse | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 10 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:13 | 10 |
| 12 | FC Volendam | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 17:14 | 9 |
| 13 | Helmond Sport | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 8 |
| 14 | Jong Ajax | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:22 | 8 |
| 15 | NAC Breda | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:14 | 7 |
| 16 | Den Bosch | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12:16 | 7 |
| 17 | Jong Utrecht | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15:21 | 7 |
| 18 | TOP Oss | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8:12 | 6 |
| 19 | De Graafschap | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:18 | 4 |
| 20 | Dordrecht | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9:21 | 4 |
