Sport Picks
Maastricht vs Jong Utrecht - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie De Geusselt, Maastricht 
Match Events
2'
2'
Breugelmans I.
Assist: Daneels L.
6'
6'
Menzo B.
Assist: Ghaddari M.
16'
16'
Adiele E.
AI Match Summary
The Eerste Divisie game between Maastricht and Jong Utrecht finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maastricht.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong Utrecht
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Maastricht carry the better recent record into this one.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Maastricht Clean Sheet 10%
Jong Utrecht Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Maastricht | Jong Utrecht |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 15 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.03 | 2.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 2.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 9, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Maastricht vs Jong Utrecht
2:1
Jan 23, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Maastricht vs Jong Utrecht
2:2
Oct 17, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong Utrecht vs Maastricht
3:1
Apr 18, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Maastricht vs Jong Utrecht
5:0
Nov 4, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Jong Utrecht vs Maastricht
4:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Maastricht Compare
Top Goalscorer Breugelmans I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sierra E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Jong Utrecht Compare
Top Goalscorer Menzo B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Maastricht 30 / 100
Jong Utrecht 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Maastricht Jong Utrecht
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jong Utrecht has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.
Maastricht found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).
Jong Utrecht's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Maastricht VS Jong Utrecht
1 Goals Scored 2.13
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Maastricht
(Home) 31 Oct
Maastricht
1 : 2 Venlo
28 Oct
Maastricht
0 : 3 Excelsior
23 Oct
Den Bosch
2 : 2 Maastricht
18 Oct
Maastricht
1 : 5 Heracles
09 Oct
NAC Breda
1 : 0 Maastricht
Page 1 of 7
31 Oct
Maastricht
1 : 2 Venlo
28 Oct
Maastricht
0 : 3 Excelsior
18 Oct
Maastricht
1 : 5 Heracles
26 Sept
Maastricht
2 : 0 Helmond Sport
11 Sept
Maastricht
0 : 4 Almere City
Page 1 of 4
Jong Utrecht
(Away) 02 Nov
Jong Utrecht
3 : 2 Dordrecht
23 Oct
FC Volendam
6 : 2 Jong Utrecht
19 Oct
Jong Utrecht
1 : 2 Roda
09 Oct
De Graafschap
2 : 1 Jong Utrecht
18 Sept
Jong Utrecht
1 : 3 Venlo
Page 1 of 6
23 Oct
FC Volendam
6 : 2 Jong Utrecht
09 Oct
De Graafschap
2 : 1 Jong Utrecht
11 Sept
NAC Breda
2 : 3 Jong Utrecht
31 Aug
Jong AZ Alkmaar
2 : 1 Jong Utrecht
28 Aug
TOP Oss
2 : 1 Jong Utrecht
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 44:15 | 35 |
| 2 | Venlo | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 37:22 | 29 |
| 3 | Almere City | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 30:14 | 28 |
| 4 | FC Emmen | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 26:24 | 25 |
| 5 | NAC Breda | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25:20 | 25 |
| 6 | Roda | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 18:17 | 25 |
| 7 | FC Volendam | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 33:24 | 22 |
| 8 | Den Bosch | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 9 | Vitesse | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | 18 |
| 10 | Maastricht | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 17:29 | 17 |
| 11 | Waalwijk | 14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 23:20 | 17 |
| 12 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 33:31 | 17 |
| 13 | Jong PSV | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18:22 | 17 |
| 14 | Jong Ajax | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 22:30 | 16 |
| 15 | De Graafschap | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17:27 | 15 |
| 16 | TOP Oss | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 20:23 | 14 |
| 17 | Helmond Sport | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 25:31 | 12 |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 18:34 | 12 |
| 19 | Eindhoven FC | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 18:31 | 11 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 22:33 | 10 |
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
