Sport Picks
Maastricht vs Roda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie De Geusselt, Maastricht 
Match Events
15'
15'
Dumont O.
Assist: Klaasen R.
46'
46'
Sub
Deom J. In: Seedorf C.
Out: Deom J.
46'
46'
Sub
Peixoto G. In: Sleegers J.
Out: Peixoto G.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Eerste Divisie matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
7%
15%
78%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Roda
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
78%
/ Very High Confidence
- Roda have won more games recently than Maastricht.
- Roda are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Maastricht Clean Sheet 10%
Roda Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Maastricht | Roda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 15 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.1 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Maastricht vs Roda
1:1
Feb 22, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Roda vs Maastricht
2:0
Nov 30, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Maastricht vs Roda
0:0
Feb 1, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Maastricht vs Roda
3:2
Sep 21, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Roda vs Maastricht
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Maastricht Compare
Top Goalscorer Dumont O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Roda Compare
Top Goalscorer Sleegers J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Maastricht 10 / 100
Roda 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Maastricht Roda
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Roda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Maastricht found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).
Roda let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Maastricht stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Maastricht VS Roda
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Maastricht
(Home) 31 Oct
Maastricht
1 : 2 Venlo
28 Oct
Maastricht
0 : 3 Excelsior
23 Oct
Den Bosch
2 : 2 Maastricht
18 Oct
Maastricht
1 : 5 Heracles
09 Oct
NAC Breda
1 : 0 Maastricht
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Maastricht
1 : 2 Venlo
28 Oct
Maastricht
0 : 3 Excelsior
18 Oct
Maastricht
1 : 5 Heracles
26 Sept
Maastricht
2 : 0 Helmond Sport
11 Sept
Maastricht
0 : 4 Almere City
Page 1 of 3
Roda
(Away) 06 Nov
Heracles
5 : 1 Roda
30 Oct
Roda
2 : 1 Jong AZ Alkmaar
27 Oct
Roda
1 : 0 De Graafschap
23 Oct
Almere City
2 : 3 Roda
19 Oct
Jong Utrecht
1 : 2 Roda
Page 1 of 6
06 Nov
Heracles
5 : 1 Roda
23 Oct
Almere City
2 : 3 Roda
19 Oct
Jong Utrecht
1 : 2 Roda
04 Oct
Venlo
2 : 0 Roda
18 Sept
Jong Ajax
0 : 0 Roda
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 44:15 | 35 |
| 2 | Venlo | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 37:22 | 29 |
| 3 | Almere City | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 30:14 | 28 |
| 4 | FC Emmen | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 26:24 | 25 |
| 5 | NAC Breda | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25:20 | 25 |
| 6 | Roda | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 18:17 | 25 |
| 7 | FC Volendam | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 33:24 | 22 |
| 8 | Den Bosch | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 9 | Vitesse | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | 18 |
| 10 | Maastricht | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 17:29 | 17 |
| 11 | Waalwijk | 14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 23:20 | 17 |
| 12 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 33:31 | 17 |
| 13 | Jong PSV | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18:22 | 17 |
| 14 | Jong Ajax | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 22:30 | 16 |
| 15 | De Graafschap | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17:27 | 15 |
| 16 | TOP Oss | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 20:23 | 14 |
| 17 | Helmond Sport | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 25:31 | 12 |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 18:34 | 12 |
| 19 | Eindhoven FC | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 18:31 | 11 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 22:33 | 10 |
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
