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Maastricht vs Vitesse - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie De Geusselt, Maastricht
Sun, Nov 15, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Maastricht host Vitesse in the Eerste Divisie. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Maastricht at 1.1 goals for, 1.97 against; Vitesse at 1.61 for, 1.11 against. Head-to-head, Maastricht have won 1 to Vitesse's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 17, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.13 - 1.94) back Vitesse to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Maastricht
20%
Draws
70%
Vitesse
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vitesse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Maastricht haven't matched Vitesse's recent run of results.
  • Vitesse are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Maastricht Clean Sheet 10%
Vitesse Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maastricht Vitesse
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.1 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Vitesse vs Maastricht
0:0
Oct 21, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Maastricht vs Vitesse
3:2
Mar 1, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Vitesse vs Maastricht
1:0
Dec 6, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Maastricht vs Vitesse
2:2
Apr 1, 2000 Eredivisie
Maastricht vs Vitesse
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maastricht 10 / 100
Vitesse 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maastricht Vitesse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitesse Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Maastricht scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Vitesse's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Maastricht remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Maastricht VS Vitesse
1 Goals Scored 1
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Maastricht

(Home)
31 Oct
Maastricht
1 : 2
Venlo
28 Oct
Maastricht
0 : 3
Excelsior
23 Oct
Den Bosch
2 : 2
Maastricht
18 Oct
Maastricht
1 : 5
Heracles
09 Oct
NAC Breda
1 : 0
Maastricht
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Vitesse

(Away)
02 Nov
Jong Ajax
1 : 1
Vitesse
28 Oct
Venlo
0 : 2
Vitesse
23 Oct
Vitesse
0 : 2
FC Emmen
16 Oct
Eindhoven FC
0 : 1
Vitesse
09 Oct
FC Volendam
2 : 0
Vitesse
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 14 11 2 1 44:15 35
2 Venlo 14 9 2 3 37:22 29
3 Almere City 14 9 1 4 30:14 28
4 FC Emmen 13 8 1 4 26:24 25
5 NAC Breda 14 7 4 3 25:20 25
6 Roda 14 7 4 3 18:17 25
7 FC Volendam 14 7 1 6 33:24 22
8 Den Bosch 14 5 4 5 24:22 19
9 Vitesse 13 5 3 5 17:18 18
10 Maastricht 13 5 2 6 17:29 17
11 Waalwijk 14 3 8 3 23:20 17
12 Jong AZ Alkmaar 14 5 2 7 33:31 17
13 Jong PSV 14 4 5 5 18:22 17
14 Jong Ajax 14 4 4 6 22:30 16
15 De Graafschap 13 4 3 6 17:27 15
16 TOP Oss 14 4 2 8 20:23 14
17 Helmond Sport 14 3 3 8 25:31 12
18 Dordrecht 14 3 3 8 18:34 12
19 Jong Utrecht 14 3 2 9 23:34 11
20 Eindhoven FC 14 3 2 9 18:31 11
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)