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Macae vs 7 de Abril

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2025
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Match Events

15' Event
Pipico
38' Event
Heberth

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B2 2025 game between Macae and 7 de Abril finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Macae.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Macae
20%
Draws
40%
7 de Abril
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Macae come out ahead of 7 de Abril on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Macae Clean Sheet 20%
7 de Abril Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macae 7 de Abril
Matches Played 29 21
Wins 10 4
Draws 5 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.1 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2025 Carioca B2
Macae vs 7 de Abril
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Macae Compare

Top Goalscorer Pipico
1 Goals
Assists Leader Heberth
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

7 de Abril Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macae 36 / 100
7 de Abril 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macae 7 de Abril

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 7 de Abril Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

7 de Abril let in goals in 81% of their last 21 matches.

Attacking prowess: Macae scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

7 de Abril's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Macae VS 7 de Abril
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Macae

(Home)
12 Sept
Macae
2 : 0
Audax RJ
05 Sept
Goytacaz
1 : 0
Macae
23 Jun
Americano
2 : 1
Macae
17 Jun
Macae
0 : 0
Americano
07 Dec
Goytacaz
4 : 1
Macae
Page 1 of 6

7 de Abril

(Away)
07 Sept
7 de Abril
2 : 2
Serra Macaense
30 Aug
Santa Cruz RJ
2 : 0
7 de Abril
09 Nov
Macae
2 : 0
7 de Abril
06 Nov
7 de Abril
6 : 2
FC Rio de Janeiro
02 Nov
Goytacaz
2 : 1
7 de Abril
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Cruz RJ 8 7 1 0 14:3 22
2 Belford Roxo 8 5 1 2 17:8 16
3 Goytacaz 8 5 1 2 13:8 16
4 Macae 8 4 1 3 13:5 13
5 Serra Macaense 8 3 4 1 9:7 13
6 Paraty 8 2 2 4 9:10 8
7 7 de Abril 8 2 2 4 11:13 8
8 FC Rio de Janeiro 8 1 0 7 7:25 3
9 Barra Mansa 8 0 2 6 4:18 2
Promotion - Carioca B2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Main)