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Macae vs Americano

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio
Macae Logo

Macae

0 - 0
FT
Americano Logo

Americano

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Macae
35%
Draws
45%
Americano
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Americano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Macae haven't matched Americano's recent run of results.
  • Americano are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Americano arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Americano, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Macae Clean Sheet 10%
Americano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macae Americano
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 15
Draws 5 8
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 1.1 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.78 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2026 Copa Rio
Americano vs Macae
2:1
Jun 17, 2026 Copa Rio
Macae vs Americano
0:0
May 20, 2023 Carioca 2
Macae vs Americano
0:2
May 21, 2022 Carioca 2
Americano vs Macae
3:1
Jul 28, 2021 Carioca 2
Macae vs Americano
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macae 26 / 100
Americano 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macae Americano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AME Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Macae scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Americano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Macae has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Macae VS Americano
0.67 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
67% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Macae

(Home)
23 Jun
Americano
2 : 1
Macae
17 Jun
Macae
0 : 0
Americano
07 Dec
Goytacaz
4 : 1
Macae
30 Nov
Macae
1 : 1
Goytacaz
23 Nov
Santa Cruz RJ
2 : 2
Macae
Page 1 of 6

Americano

(Away)
01 Aug
Americano
2 : 0
Resende
25 Jul
Resende
1 : 0
Americano
23 Jul
Portuguesa RJ
1 : 0
Americano
18 Jul
Americano
4 : 1
America RJ
15 Jul
Americano
1 : 1
Portuguesa RJ
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Americano 2
Macae 1
TBD -
Portuguesa RJ -
Cabofriense 1
Bonsucesso 3
TBD -
Madureira -
Perolas Negras 10
Santa Cruz RJ 1
TBD -
Marica -
CEAC/Araruama 2
Sao Cristovao 1
TBD -
Boavista -
Olaria 6
Duque de Caxias 0
TBD -
Bangu -
America RJ -
Goytacaz -
TBD -
Nova Iguacu -
Sao Goncalo 3
Serrano FC 2
TBD -
Volta Redonda -
Resende 11
Belford Roxo 2
TBD -
Sampaio Correa FE -
1/8-finals
Americano 1
Portuguesa RJ 2
Bonsucesso 3
Madureira 4
Perolas Negras 0
Marica 3
CEAC/Araruama 0
Boavista 5
Olaria 3
Bangu 1
America RJ 1
Nova Iguacu 2
Sao Goncalo 2
Volta Redonda 1
Resende 0
Sampaio Correa FE 3
Quarter-finals
Portuguesa RJ 0
Madureira 1
Marica 1
Boavista 0
Olaria 0
Nova Iguacu 1
Sao Goncalo 0
Sampaio Correa FE 0
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -