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Macae vs Belford Roxo Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2025
Sun, Nov 2, 2025
3 - 0
06:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Manoel L.

AI Match Summary

Macae host Belford Roxo in the Carioca B2 2025. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Macae at 1.13 goals for, 1.1 against; Belford Roxo at 1.36 for, 1.48 against. Past meetings favor Macae slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 2, 2025, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.69 - 1.50) back Macae to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Macae
35%
Draws
39%
Belford Roxo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Belford Roxo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Macae come out ahead of Belford Roxo on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Macae taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Macae Clean Sheet 16%
Belford Roxo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macae Belford Roxo
Matches Played 30 25
Wins 10 6
Draws 6 11
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.13 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2025 Carioca B2
Macae vs Belford Roxo
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macae 41 / 100
Belford Roxo 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macae Belford Roxo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Macae scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Belford Roxo let in goals in 60% of their last 25 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Macae stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Macae VS Belford Roxo
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Macae

(Home)
26 Sept
Macae
0 : 0
Artsul
19 Sept
Campo Grande
2 : 1
Macae
12 Sept
Macae
2 : 0
Audax RJ
05 Sept
Goytacaz
1 : 0
Macae
23 Jun
Americano
2 : 1
Macae
Page 1 of 6

Belford Roxo

(Away)
27 Sept
Friburguense
2 : 2
Belford Roxo
20 Sept
Belford Roxo
1 : 2
Cardoso Moreira
13 Sept
Campos AA
2 : 2
Belford Roxo
06 Sept
Belford Roxo
0 : 0
FC Rio de Janeiro
30 Aug
Paraty
0 : 4
Belford Roxo
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Cruz RJ 8 7 1 0 14:3 22
2 Belford Roxo 8 5 1 2 17:8 16
3 Goytacaz 8 5 1 2 13:8 16
4 Macae 8 4 1 3 13:5 13
5 Serra Macaense 8 3 4 1 9:7 13
6 Paraty 8 2 2 4 9:10 8
7 7 de Abril 8 2 2 4 11:13 8
8 FC Rio de Janeiro 8 1 0 7 7:25 3
9 Barra Mansa 8 0 2 6 4:18 2
Promotion - Carioca B2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Main)