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Macae vs Belford Roxo

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2025
Sun, Nov 2, 2025
3 - 0
06:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Manoel L.

AI Match Summary

Macae host Belford Roxo in the Carioca B2 2025. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Macae at 1.1 goals for, 1.33 against; Belford Roxo at 1.25 for, 1.55 against. Past meetings favor Macae slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 2, 2025, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.63 - 1.13) back Macae to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Macae
35%
Draws
37%
Belford Roxo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Belford Roxo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Macae come out ahead of Belford Roxo on wins alone.
  • 28% — that's where the model lands on Macae taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Macae Clean Sheet 68%
Belford Roxo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macae Belford Roxo
Matches Played 30 20
Wins 9 5
Draws 5 8
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2025 Carioca B2
Macae vs Belford Roxo
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macae 95 / 100
Belford Roxo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macae Belford Roxo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Macae scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Belford Roxo let in goals in 60% of their last 20 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Macae stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Macae VS Belford Roxo
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Macae

(Home)
23 Jun
Americano
2 : 1
Macae
17 Jun
Macae
0 : 0
Americano
07 Dec
Goytacaz
4 : 1
Macae
30 Nov
Macae
1 : 1
Goytacaz
23 Nov
Santa Cruz RJ
2 : 2
Macae
Page 1 of 6

Belford Roxo

(Away)
23 Jun
Resende
8 : 1
Belford Roxo
17 Jun
Belford Roxo
1 : 3
Resende
23 Nov
Belford Roxo
1 : 2
Goytacaz
16 Nov
Goytacaz
0 : 0
Belford Roxo
09 Nov
Belford Roxo
2 : 0
Serra Macaense
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Cruz RJ 8 7 1 0 14:3 22
2 Belford Roxo 8 5 1 2 17:8 16
3 Goytacaz 8 5 1 2 13:8 16
4 Macae 8 4 1 3 13:5 13
5 Serra Macaense 8 3 4 1 9:7 13
6 Paraty 8 2 2 4 9:10 8
7 7 de Abril 8 2 2 4 11:13 8
8 FC Rio de Janeiro 8 1 0 7 7:25 3
9 Barra Mansa 8 0 2 6 4:18 2
Promotion - Carioca B2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Main)