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Macae vs Olaria

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2 2023
Macae Logo

Macae

0 - 2
FT
Olaria Logo

Olaria

Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Ferreira D.
77' Event
Ferreira D.
85'
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Carioca 2 2023 game between Macae and Olaria finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Olaria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Macae
35%
Draws
41%
Olaria
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Olaria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Macae haven't matched Olaria's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Macae a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Carioca 2 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Macae Clean Sheet 14%
Olaria Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macae Olaria
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 9 12
Draws 5 11
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.1 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 0.90 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2023 Carioca 2
Macae vs Olaria
0:2
May 14, 2022 Carioca 2
Macae vs Olaria
1:0
Feb 7, 2013 Carioca
Olaria vs Macae
2:2
Feb 11, 2012 Carioca
Olaria vs Macae
0:1
Feb 2, 2011 Carioca
Olaria vs Macae
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Macae Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.45

Olaria Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreira D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macae 35 / 100
Olaria 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macae Olaria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Macae scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Macae stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Olaria conceded in 55% of 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Macae VS Olaria
0.67 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
67% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Macae

(Home)
23 Jun
Americano
2 : 1
Macae
17 Jun
Macae
0 : 0
Americano
07 Dec
Goytacaz
4 : 1
Macae
30 Nov
Macae
1 : 1
Goytacaz
23 Nov
Santa Cruz RJ
2 : 2
Macae
Page 1 of 6

Olaria

(Away)
12 Aug
Nova Iguacu
0 : 0
Olaria
05 Aug
Olaria
0 : 1
Nova Iguacu
22 Jul
Bangu
1 : 1
Olaria
15 Jul
Olaria
2 : 0
Bangu
04 Jul
Olaria
0 : 1
Bonsucesso
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Goncalense 11 6 3 2 11:8 21
2 Sampaio Correa FE 11 6 2 3 13:12 20
3 Artsul 11 5 4 2 15:10 19
4 Olaria 11 5 4 2 14:9 19
5 Americano 11 5 4 2 12:7 19
6 Cabofriense 11 4 3 4 13:13 15
7 Resende 11 4 2 5 13:11 14
8 America RJ 11 4 2 5 11:12 14
9 Marica 11 3 3 5 10:12 12
10 CEAC/Araruama 11 2 5 4 9:11 11
11 Macae 11 3 1 7 8:16 10
12 Friburguense 11 2 1 8 5:13 7
Promotion - Carioca 2 2023 (Play Offs)