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Macao vs Sertanense Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2018/2019
Macao Logo

Macao

0 - 2
FT
Sertanense Logo

Sertanense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sertanense in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sertanense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Macao
20%
Draws
32%
Sertanense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Macao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Macao haven't matched Sertanense's recent run of results.
  • 32% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Macao Clean Sheet 20%
Sertanense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macao Sertanense
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 3 11
Draws 6 13
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 0.6 0.95
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Macao vs Sertanense
0:2
Dec 9, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Sertanense vs Macao
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macao 36 / 100
Sertanense 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macao Sertanense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sertanense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sertanense has conceded goals in 72% of their last 39 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Sertanense registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Macao scored in 33% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Macao VS Sertanense
2.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Macao

(Home)
20 Sept
FC Alpendorada
3 : 0
Macao
30 Aug
Macao
5 : 0
CF Os Gavionenses
12 May
Sintrense
5 : 0
Macao
05 May
Macao
0 : 1
Caldas SC
28 Apr
Santa Iria
3 : 1
Macao
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Sertanense

(Away)
27 Sept
O Elvas CAD
2 : 0
Sertanense
13 Sept
Sertanense
1 : 1
Malveira
30 Aug
Alcains
1 : 0
Sertanense
23 Aug
Sertanense
1 : 3
Mortagua FC
16 Aug
Nogueirense
1 : 1
Sertanense
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leiria 34 24 3 7 59:24 75
2 Vilafranquense 34 21 9 4 56:22 72
3 Anadia 34 20 11 3 52:23 71
4 SB Castelo Branco 34 17 11 6 45:23 62
5 Sintrense 34 15 9 10 49:41 54
6 Oliveira Hospital 34 13 13 8 42:27 52
7 Alverca 34 14 9 11 39:33 51
8 Caldas SC 34 12 10 12 37:38 46
9 Oleiros 34 11 12 11 38:44 45
10 Torreense 34 11 11 12 36:36 44
11 Fatima 34 12 7 15 38:46 43
12 GS Loures 34 11 8 15 33:31 41
13 Sertanense 34 8 17 9 32:36 41
14 Nogueirense 34 11 8 15 32:39 41
15 Santa Iria 34 9 8 17 35:55 35
16 Alcains 34 5 8 21 21:48 23
17 GD Peniche 34 5 8 21 22:51 23
18 Macao 34 3 6 25 20:69 15
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Offs)