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Macapa vs Amapa

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Amapaense 2005
Macapa Logo

Macapa

2 - 3
FT
Amapa Logo

Amapa

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Amapaense 2005 game between Macapa and Amapa finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Amapa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Macapa
15%
Draws
59%
Amapa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Amapa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Amapa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Amapa taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Amapaense 2005 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Macapa Clean Sheet 17%
Amapa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macapa Amapa
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 1.42 1.37
Goals Conceded 2.09 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2008 Amapaense
Amapa vs Macapa
2:2
Jul 23, 2005 Amapaense
Macapa vs Amapa
2:3
Jun 20, 2005 Amapaense
Amapa vs Macapa
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macapa 12 / 100
Amapa 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macapa Amapa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amapa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amapa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.33 goals when they meet.

Macapa found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).

Macapa has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Macapa VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Macapa

(Home)
15 Mar
Santos AP
5 : 0
Macapa
09 Mar
Macapa
1 : 3
Independente AP
06 Mar
Oratorio
3 : 0
Macapa
01 Mar
Macapa
0 : 1
Ypiranga AP
22 Feb
Cristal AP
1 : 2
Macapa
Page 1 of 7

Amapa

(Away)
21 Jun
Amapa
1 : 1
Independente AP
13 Jun
Ypiranga AP
0 : 1
Amapa
01 Jun
Trem
2 : 1
Amapa
17 May
Amapa
3 : 2
Santos AP
10 May
Cristal AP
2 : 0
Amapa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amapa 5 4 1 0 11:4 13
2 Ypiranga AP 5 3 1 1 13:7 10
3 Trem 5 2 1 2 9:10 7
4 SAO Jose 5 2 1 2 8:9 7
5 Cristal AP 5 0 3 2 4:6 3
6 Macapa 5 0 1 4 8:17 1
Promotion - Campeonato Amapaense 2005 (Grand Final)