Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Macara vs Guayaquil City

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Bellavista, Ambato
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Ayovi Caicedo J. J.
15'
Rodriguez Y.
35' Event
Posse F.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Pro game between Macara and Guayaquil City finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Macara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Macara
15%
Draws
31%
Guayaquil City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Macara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Macara come out ahead of Guayaquil City on wins alone.
  • Macara are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Macara Clean Sheet 16%
Guayaquil City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macara Guayaquil City
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.31 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Liga Pro
Macara vs Guayaquil City
2:1
Apr 12, 2026 Liga Pro
Guayaquil City vs Macara
2:1
Aug 6, 2022 Liga Pro
Guayaquil City vs Macara
0:0
Mar 20, 2022 Liga Pro
Macara vs Guayaquil City
2:0
Jul 24, 2021 Liga Pro
Macara vs Guayaquil City
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Macara Compare

Top Goalscorer Posse F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Campana A. I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Guayaquil City Compare

Top Goalscorer Mero E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macara 36 / 100
Guayaquil City 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macara Guayaquil City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Macara found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (35 games).

Guayaquil City let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Macara stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Macara VS Guayaquil City
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Macara

(Home)
19 Sept
Aucas
1 : 2
Macara
13 Sept
Macara
1 : 0
Emelec
05 Sept
Independiente del Valle
3 : 1
Macara
02 Sept
Macara
4 : 3
Manta
30 Aug
Orense
1 : 2
Macara
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Guayaquil City

(Away)
19 Sept
Guayaquil City
1 : 1
Leones del Norte
12 Sept
Guayaquil City
3 : 1
Mushuc Runa
08 Sept
Orense
4 : 3
Guayaquil City
02 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 0
Guayaquil City
29 Aug
Guayaquil City
2 : 1
LDU Quito
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 30 24 2 4 73:33 74
2 U. Catolica 30 14 9 7 51:27 51
3 Macara 30 15 6 9 41:33 51
4 Aucas 30 14 8 8 33:28 50
5 LDU Quito 30 13 7 10 31:24 46
6 Barcelona SC 30 11 11 8 32:25 44
7 Libertad 30 11 8 11 33:34 41
8 Leones del Norte 30 10 9 11 31:32 39
9 Guayaquil City 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
10 Emelec 30 10 9 11 25:34 39
11 Mushuc Runa 30 9 11 10 35:38 38
12 Dep. Cuenca 30 10 6 14 25:37 36
13 Orense 30 9 6 15 36:47 33
14 Tecnico U. 30 10 2 18 28:42 32
15 Delfin 30 7 7 16 19:31 28
16 Manta 30 5 6 19 17:42 21
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)