Sport Picks
Macara vs Independiente del Valle - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ecuador
Liga Pro Estadio Bellavista, Ambato 
AI Match Summary
Macara host Independiente del Valle in the Liga Pro. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Independiente del Valle have shipped 0.94 goals a game lately, while Macara have conceded 1.13 and scored 1.31. Past meetings favor Independiente del Valle slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 5, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.63) point toward Independiente del Valle. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Independiente del Valle carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Independiente del Valle have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Macara | Independiente del Valle |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 33 |
| Wins | 15 | 27 |
| Draws | 7 | 2 |
| Losses | 10 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 2.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.
Macara's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Macara has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Independiente del Valle let in goals in 58% of their last 33 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Macara
(Home)Independiente del Valle
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | 74 |
| 2 | Macara | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 43:34 | 54 |
| 3 | U. Catolica | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 52:29 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 34:30 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU Quito | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 33:25 | 49 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | 44 |
