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Macara vs Manta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Bellavista, Ambato
Macara Logo

Macara

4 - 3
FT
Manta Logo

Manta

Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Campana A. I.
Assist: Estacio J.
27'
Sub
Estacio J. In: Caicedo C.
Out: Estacio J.
43' Event
Alman J.
Assist: Burbano R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Pro game between Macara and Manta finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Macara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Macara
15%
Draws
31%
Manta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Macara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Macara carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 54% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Macara Clean Sheet 68%
Manta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macara Manta
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 7
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.31 0.66
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Liga Pro
Macara vs Manta
4:3
May 10, 2026 Liga Pro
Manta vs Macara
0:1
Sep 27, 2025 Liga Pro
Manta vs Macara
1:3
May 31, 2025 Liga Pro
Macara vs Manta
2:2
Oct 18, 2023 Serie B
Macara vs Manta
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Macara Compare

Top Goalscorer Etchebarne S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Campana A. I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Manta Compare

Top Goalscorer Alman J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macara 41 / 100
Manta 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macara Manta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Macara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Macara scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Manta has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Macara stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Macara VS Manta
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Macara

(Home)
19 Sept
Aucas
1 : 2
Macara
13 Sept
Macara
1 : 0
Emelec
05 Sept
Independiente del Valle
3 : 1
Macara
02 Sept
Macara
4 : 3
Manta
30 Aug
Orense
1 : 2
Macara
Page 1 of 6

Manta

(Away)
10 Oct
Manta
1 : 0
Tecnico U.
21 Sept
Manta
2 : 1
Orense
12 Sept
Manta
0 : 0
Aucas
08 Sept
Emelec
1 : 0
Manta
02 Sept
Macara
4 : 3
Manta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 30 24 2 4 73:33 74
2 U. Catolica 30 14 9 7 51:27 51
3 Macara 30 15 6 9 41:33 51
4 Aucas 30 14 8 8 33:28 50
5 LDU Quito 30 13 7 10 31:24 46
6 Barcelona SC 30 11 11 8 32:25 44
7 Libertad 30 11 8 11 33:34 41
8 Leones del Norte 30 10 9 11 31:32 39
9 Guayaquil City 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
10 Emelec 30 10 9 11 25:34 39
11 Mushuc Runa 30 9 11 10 35:38 38
12 Dep. Cuenca 30 10 6 14 25:37 36
13 Orense 30 9 6 15 36:47 33
14 Tecnico U. 30 10 2 18 28:42 32
15 Delfin 30 7 7 16 19:31 28
16 Manta 30 5 6 19 17:42 21
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)