Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Macara vs Manta

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Bellavista, Ambato
Wed, Sep 2, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Macara host Manta in the Liga Pro. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Macara at 1.18 goals for, 0.94 against; Manta at 0.55 for, 1.38 against. Head-to-head, Macara have won 2 to Manta's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.81 xG vs 0.94) point toward Macara. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Macara
20%
Draws
22%
Manta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Macara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Macara carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Macara are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Macara Clean Sheet 20%
Manta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macara Manta
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 14 6
Draws 11 5
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.18 0.55
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Liga Pro
Manta vs Macara
0:1
Sep 27, 2025 Liga Pro
Manta vs Macara
1:3
May 31, 2025 Liga Pro
Macara vs Manta
2:2
Oct 18, 2023 Serie B
Macara vs Manta
1:3
Aug 30, 2023 Serie B
Manta vs Macara
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macara 85 / 100
Manta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macara Manta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Macara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Macara scored in 74% of their last 34 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Macara stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Macara VS Manta
1.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Macara

(Home)
20 Aug
Macara
0 : 0
Santos
18 Aug
Macara
1 : 1
U. Catolica
13 Aug
Santos
2 : 1
Macara
09 Aug
Barcelona SC
1 : 2
Macara
02 Aug
Macara
2 : 1
Guayaquil City
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Manta

(Away)
22 Aug
U. Catolica
5 : 1
Manta
15 Aug
Manta
0 : 2
Leones del Norte
11 Aug
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 2
Manta
01 Aug
Manta
1 : 2
Mushuc Runa
30 Jul
Independiente del Valle
1 : 0
Manta
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 26 22 1 3 64:26 67
2 U. Catolica 26 12 7 7 45:23 43
3 Macara 25 12 6 7 33:25 42
4 Aucas 25 12 5 8 29:26 41
5 Barcelona SC 26 10 9 7 28:20 39
6 LDU Quito 25 11 5 9 24:20 38
7 Leones del Norte 26 9 8 9 28:28 35
8 Libertad 25 9 7 9 28:29 34
9 Mushuc Runa 26 8 9 9 32:34 33
10 Guayaquil City 26 8 9 9 25:29 33
11 Emelec 25 8 8 9 21:29 32
12 Dep. Cuenca 26 9 5 12 22:32 32
13 Orense 26 8 6 12 30:39 30
14 Tecnico U. 26 8 2 16 23:37 26
15 Delfin 25 6 6 13 17:27 24
16 Manta 26 4 5 17 12:37 17
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)