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Macarthur Rams vs Inter Lions

Australia Australia

NSW League One
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Morfitis J.
25' Event
Soravia P.
42' Event
Khoury J.

AI Match Summary

Macarthur Rams in this NSW League One matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Macarthur Rams.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Macarthur Rams
15%
Draws
51%
Inter Lions
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Inter Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Macarthur Rams lately — more wins on the board than Inter Lions.
  • Win probability leans Inter Lions's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Macarthur Rams Clean Sheet 18%
Inter Lions Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macarthur Rams Inter Lions
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.33 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 NSW League One
Macarthur Rams vs Inter Lions
3:2
Mar 21, 2026 NSW League One
Inter Lions vs Macarthur Rams
0:1
Aug 16, 2025 NSW League One
Macarthur Rams vs Inter Lions
0:0
May 3, 2025 NSW League One
Inter Lions vs Macarthur Rams
0:0
Aug 17, 2024 NSW League One
Inter Lions vs Macarthur Rams
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Macarthur Rams Compare

Top Goalscorer Soravia P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martin M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Inter Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Morfitis J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Khoury J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macarthur Rams 28 / 100
Inter Lions 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macarthur Rams Inter Lions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inter Lions Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Macarthur Rams found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Inter Lions's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Macarthur Rams went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Macarthur Rams VS Inter Lions
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Macarthur Rams

(Home)
29 Aug
Canterbury Bankstown FC
3 : 2
Macarthur Rams
22 Aug
Northern Tigers
3 : 2
Macarthur Rams
15 Aug
Macarthur Rams
0 : 2
Blacktown Spartans
08 Aug
Dulwich Hill
1 : 2
Macarthur Rams
01 Aug
Bulls Academy
0 : 1
Macarthur Rams
Page 1 of 6

Inter Lions

(Away)
29 Aug
Inter Lions
1 : 2
Hakoah Sydney
22 Aug
Dulwich Hill
0 : 2
Inter Lions
15 Aug
Inter Lions
2 : 0
Bankstown City Lions FC
07 Aug
Blacktown Spartans
4 : 0
Inter Lions
02 Aug
Central Coast U23
1 : 4
Inter Lions
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacktown Spartans 30 21 6 3 79:36 69
2 Northern Tigers 30 17 8 5 55:30 59
3 Bankstown City Lions FC 30 17 5 8 65:45 56
4 Canterbury Bankstown FC 30 15 6 9 71:53 51
5 Hills United 30 14 7 9 62:45 49
6 Macarthur Rams 30 14 6 10 40:36 48
7 Hakoah Sydney 30 10 11 9 55:52 41
8 Rydalmere Lions 30 11 8 11 43:46 41
9 Bulls Academy 30 11 5 14 52:50 38
10 Inter Lions 30 10 5 15 39:54 35
11 Hurstville Zagreb 30 9 6 15 42:55 33
12 Central Coast U23 30 8 7 15 46:67 31
13 Dulwich Hill 30 7 9 14 40:58 30
14 Newcastle Jets U23 30 6 11 13 55:73 29
15 Prospect United 30 4 14 12 33:52 26
16 Western City Rangers 30 6 6 18 37:62 24
Promotion - NPL NSW 2027 (Main)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One (Relegation)