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Macarthur Rams vs Inter Lions

Australia Australia

NSW League One
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Morfitis J.
25' Event
Soravia P.
42' Event
Khoury J.

AI Match Summary

Macarthur Rams in this NSW League One matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Macarthur Rams.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Macarthur Rams
39%
Draws
31%
Inter Lions
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Macarthur Rams lately — more wins on the board than Inter Lions.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Macarthur Rams Clean Sheet 18%
Inter Lions Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macarthur Rams Inter Lions
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 1 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 NSW League One
Macarthur Rams vs Inter Lions
3:2
Mar 21, 2026 NSW League One
Inter Lions vs Macarthur Rams
0:1
Aug 16, 2025 NSW League One
Macarthur Rams vs Inter Lions
0:0
May 3, 2025 NSW League One
Inter Lions vs Macarthur Rams
0:0
Aug 17, 2024 NSW League One
Inter Lions vs Macarthur Rams
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Macarthur Rams Compare

Top Goalscorer Soravia P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martin M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Inter Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Morfitis J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Khoury J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macarthur Rams 31 / 100
Inter Lions 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macarthur Rams Inter Lions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Macarthur Rams remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Macarthur Rams's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Inter Lions's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Macarthur Rams VS Inter Lions
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Blacktown Spartans24165360:3153
2Northern Tigers24137443:2246
3Bankstown City Lions FC24134745:3743
4Macarthur Rams24126632:2542
5Canterbury Bankstown FC24125757:3941
6Rydalmere Lions24107737:3437
7Hills United24106842:3936
8Bulls Academy241031144:3933
9Hakoah Sydney2479841:4030
10Hurstville Zagreb24861037:3930
11Central Coast U2324761140:4727
12Inter Lions24741329:4625
13Newcastle Jets U2324581145:5523
14Dulwich Hill24581127:4723
15Western City Rangers24541529:4819
16Prospect United242121023:4318