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Macarthur Rams vs Northern Tigers

Australia Australia

NSW League One
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Yelchan C.
53' Event
Spang J.
64' Event
Agamemnonos A.

AI Match Summary

The NSW League One game between Macarthur Rams and Northern Tigers finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Macarthur Rams
39%
Draws
31%
Northern Tigers
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Northern Tigers come out ahead of Macarthur Rams on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular NSW League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Macarthur Rams Clean Sheet 19%
Northern Tigers Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macarthur Rams Northern Tigers
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 NSW League One
Macarthur Rams vs Northern Tigers
2:2
Jul 5, 2025 NSW League One
Macarthur Rams vs Northern Tigers
1:4
Mar 22, 2025 NSW League One
Northern Tigers vs Macarthur Rams
3:0
Aug 3, 2024 NSW League One
Northern Tigers vs Macarthur Rams
2:3
Apr 27, 2024 NSW League One
Macarthur Rams vs Northern Tigers
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Macarthur Rams Compare

Top Goalscorer Yelchan C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Agamemnonos A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Northern Tigers Compare

Top Goalscorer Spang J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Da Silva J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macarthur Rams 31 / 100
Northern Tigers 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macarthur Rams Northern Tigers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Macarthur Rams has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Macarthur Rams found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Northern Tigers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Macarthur Rams VS Northern Tigers
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Blacktown Spartans24165360:3153
2Northern Tigers23127441:2143
3Bankstown City Lions FC24134745:3743
4Macarthur Rams24126632:2542
5Canterbury Bankstown FC24125757:3941
6Rydalmere Lions24107737:3437
7Hills United24106842:3936
8Bulls Academy241031144:3933
9Hakoah Sydney2479841:4030
10Hurstville Zagreb24861037:3930
11Central Coast U2323761039:4527
12Inter Lions24741329:4625
13Newcastle Jets U2324581145:5523
14Dulwich Hill24581127:4723
15Western City Rangers24541529:4819
16Prospect United242121023:4318