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Macarthur Rams vs Northern Tigers

Australia Australia

NSW League One
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Yelchan C.
53' Event
Spang J.
64' Event
Agamemnonos A.

AI Match Summary

The NSW League One game between Macarthur Rams and Northern Tigers finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Macarthur Rams
20%
Draws
46%
Northern Tigers
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Northern Tigers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Northern Tigers come out ahead of Macarthur Rams on wins alone.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Northern Tigers taking it.
  • Regular NSW League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Macarthur Rams Clean Sheet 13%
Northern Tigers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macarthur Rams Northern Tigers
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 16
Draws 6 9
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.33 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 NSW League One
Northern Tigers vs Macarthur Rams
3:2
May 9, 2026 NSW League One
Macarthur Rams vs Northern Tigers
2:2
Jul 5, 2025 NSW League One
Macarthur Rams vs Northern Tigers
1:4
Mar 22, 2025 NSW League One
Northern Tigers vs Macarthur Rams
3:0
Aug 3, 2024 NSW League One
Northern Tigers vs Macarthur Rams
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Macarthur Rams Compare

Top Goalscorer Yelchan C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Agamemnonos A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Northern Tigers Compare

Top Goalscorer Spang J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Da Silva J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macarthur Rams 22 / 100
Northern Tigers 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macarthur Rams Northern Tigers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Northern Tigers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Macarthur Rams's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Northern Tigers conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Macarthur Rams stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Macarthur Rams VS Northern Tigers
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Macarthur Rams

(Home)
29 Aug
Canterbury Bankstown FC
3 : 2
Macarthur Rams
22 Aug
Northern Tigers
3 : 2
Macarthur Rams
15 Aug
Macarthur Rams
0 : 2
Blacktown Spartans
08 Aug
Dulwich Hill
1 : 2
Macarthur Rams
01 Aug
Bulls Academy
0 : 1
Macarthur Rams
Page 1 of 6

Northern Tigers

(Away)
12 Sept
St George Saints
3 : 1
Northern Tigers
05 Sept
Northern Tigers
0 : 0
St George Saints
29 Aug
Western City Rangers
0 : 3
Northern Tigers
22 Aug
Northern Tigers
3 : 2
Macarthur Rams
15 Aug
Bulls Academy
1 : 1
Northern Tigers
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacktown Spartans 30 21 6 3 79:36 69
2 Northern Tigers 30 17 8 5 55:30 59
3 Bankstown City Lions FC 30 17 5 8 65:45 56
4 Canterbury Bankstown FC 30 15 6 9 71:53 51
5 Hills United 30 14 7 9 62:45 49
6 Macarthur Rams 30 14 6 10 40:36 48
7 Hakoah Sydney 30 10 11 9 55:52 41
8 Rydalmere Lions 30 11 8 11 43:46 41
9 Bulls Academy 30 11 5 14 52:50 38
10 Inter Lions 30 10 5 15 39:54 35
11 Hurstville Zagreb 30 9 6 15 42:55 33
12 Central Coast U23 30 8 7 15 46:67 31
13 Dulwich Hill 30 7 9 14 40:58 30
14 Newcastle Jets U23 30 6 11 13 55:73 29
15 Prospect United 30 4 14 12 33:52 26
16 Western City Rangers 30 6 6 18 37:62 24
Promotion - NPL NSW 2027 (Main)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One (Relegation)