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Macau U20 vs Afghanistan U20

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Hadafmand E.

AI Match Summary

Afghanistan U20 in this AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Macau U20
15%
Draws
85%
Afghanistan U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Afghanistan U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Afghanistan U20 have won more games recently than Macau U20.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Afghanistan U20 taking it.
  • Afghanistan U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Afghanistan U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.2%
Macau U20 Clean Sheet 11%
Afghanistan U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macau U20 Afghanistan U20
Matches Played 7 18
Wins 0 4
Draws 1 2
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 0.14 0.61
Goals Conceded 3.14 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.82
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2024 AFC Asian Cup U20
Macau U20 vs Afghanistan U20
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Macau U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Afghanistan U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hadafmand E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macau U20 10 / 100
Afghanistan U20 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macau U20 Afghanistan U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Afghanistan U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Afghanistan U20 let in goals in 78% of their last 18 matches.

Afghanistan U20's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Macau U20 scored in 14% of their last 7 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Macau U20 VS Afghanistan U20
0.14 Goals Scored 0.5
3.14 Goals Conceded 2.25
71% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Macau U20

(Home)
06 Sept
Bhutan U20
7 : 0
Macau U20
03 Sept
Macau U20
0 : 1
Singapore U20
31 Aug
Chinese Taipei U20
5 : 0
Macau U20
27 Sept
Saudi Arabia U20
5 : 0
Macau U20
25 Sept
Australia U20
2 : 0
Macau U20
Page 1 of 2

Afghanistan U20

(Away)
06 Sept
Bahrain U20
1 : 3
Afghanistan U20
03 Sept
Afghanistan U20
1 : 4
Tajikistan U20
31 Aug
Jordan U20
1 : 0
Afghanistan U20
17 May
Kyrgyzstan U20
0 : 0
Afghanistan U20
15 May
Tajikistan U20
2 : 0
Afghanistan U20
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Syria U20 4 4 0 0 16:1 12
2 Vietnam U20 4 3 0 1 12:2 9
3 Bangladesh U20 4 1 1 2 5:11 4
4 Guam U20 4 0 2 2 4:16 2
5 Bhutan U20 4 0 1 3 2:9 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U20 4 4 0 0 21:1 12
2 Cambodia U20 4 2 1 1 6:9 7
3 Bahrain U20 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
4 Nepal U20 4 1 0 3 4:15 3
5 Chinese Taipei U20 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U20 4 4 0 0 18:2 12
2 United Arab Emirates U20 4 2 1 1 17:5 7
3 Kuwait U20 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
4 Lebanon U20 4 1 0 3 11:8 3
5 Northern Mariana Islands U20 4 0 0 4 0:37 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia U20 4 3 1 0 10:0 10
2 Australia U20 4 3 1 0 6:1 10
3 Afghanistan U20 4 1 1 2 1:6 4
4 Palestine U20 4 0 2 2 2:4 2
5 Macau U20 4 0 1 3 1:9 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U20 4 3 1 0 7:0 10
2 Oman U20 4 2 0 2 9:4 6
3 Tajikistan U20 4 2 0 2 5:5 6
4 Malaysia U20 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
5 Sri Lanka U20 4 0 1 3 1:13 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indonesia U20 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
2 Yemen U20 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
3 Timor-Leste U20 3 1 0 2 6:7 3
4 Maldives U20 3 0 0 3 1:11 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran U20 3 3 0 0 17:0 9
2 India U20 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Laos U20 3 1 0 2 6:10 3
4 Mongolia U20 3 0 0 3 1:18 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq U20 3 3 0 0 18:0 9
2 Thailand U20 3 2 0 1 18:1 6
3 Philippines U20 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
4 Brunei U20 3 0 0 3 0:32 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U20 3 2 1 0 9:1 7
2 Kyrgyzstan U20 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
3 Turkmenistan U20 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
4 Myanmar U20 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Qatar U20 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Jordan U20 3 2 0 1 11:3 6
3 Hong Kong U20 3 1 0 2 2:9 3
4 Singapore U20 3 0 0 3 0:7 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams