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Macau U23 vs Tak Chun Ka I

Macao Macao

Elite League 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Elite League 2017 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Macau U23
15%
Draws
85%
Tak Chun Ka I
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tak Chun Ka I

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Tak Chun Ka I have won more games recently than Macau U23.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 99%).
  • Tak Chun Ka I have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 99%
Over 3.5 Goals 100%
Over 4.5 Goals 45%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Macau U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Tak Chun Ka I Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macau U23 Tak Chun Ka I
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 1 6
Draws 0 1
Losses 29 25
Goals Scored 0.8 1.47
Goals Conceded 4.8 4.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.79 2.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2019 Elite League
Macau U23 vs Tak Chun Ka I
3:6
Feb 21, 2019 Elite League
Tak Chun Ka I vs Macau U23
4:1
Jul 1, 2017 Elite League
Macau U23 vs Tak Chun Ka I
3:3
Apr 9, 2017 Elite League
Tak Chun Ka I vs Macau U23
4:1
Jun 13, 2015 Elite League
Macau U23 vs Tak Chun Ka I
0:7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macau U23 34 / 100
Tak Chun Ka I 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macau U23 Tak Chun Ka I

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tak Chun Ka I Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tak Chun Ka I's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 6.40 goals when they meet.

Tak Chun Ka I's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Macau U23 scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Macau U23 VS Tak Chun Ka I
0.33 Goals Scored 1.13
4.33 Goals Conceded 5.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
100% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Macau U23

(Home)
09 Sept
Laos U23
3 : 1
Macau U23
06 Sept
Macau U23
0 : 5
Indonesia U23
03 Sept
South Korea U23
5 : 0
Macau U23
12 Sept
Timor-Leste U23
5 : 0
Macau U23
09 Sept
Macau U23
0 : 3
Kuwait U23
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Tak Chun Ka I

(Away)
28 Jul
Tak Chun Ka I
2 : 3
Sporting Macau
19 Jul
University of Macau
4 : 0
Tak Chun Ka I
14 Jul
Gala
10 : 0
Tak Chun Ka I
06 Jul
Monte Carlo
8 : 1
Tak Chun Ka I
29 Jun
Sporting Macau
4 : 1
Tak Chun Ka I
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica 18 15 2 1 80:7 47
2 Monte Carlo 18 15 1 2 72:23 46
3 Must IPO 18 14 1 3 55:16 43
4 Kei Lun 18 8 3 7 46:32 27
5 Cheng Fung 18 5 8 5 34:42 23
6 Tak Chun Ka I 18 6 4 8 31:42 22
7 Sporting Macau 18 4 4 10 16:49 16
8 Policia 18 2 5 11 11:42 11
9 Lai Chi 18 2 3 13 17:68 9
10 Macau U23 18 2 3 13 19:60 9
Promotion - AFC Cup 2018 (Qualification)