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Stadium Background

Macau vs Brunei

Asia Asia

Asian Cup Centro Desportivo Olimpico - Estadio, Macao
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Ali Rahman A.
27'
Ali Rahman A.
30'
Sub
Ng W. In: Lek Hang I.
Out: Ng W.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Macau
15%
Draws
85%
Brunei
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brunei

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Brunei have won more games recently than Macau.
  • Model gives Macau a 0% chance of winning this.
  • Brunei arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Macau, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 54.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Macau Clean Sheet 68%
Brunei Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macau Brunei
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 3 8
Draws 2 1
Losses 22 21
Goals Scored 0.59 0.73
Goals Conceded 2.41 3.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.27 1.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2024 Asian Cup
Macau vs Brunei
0:1
Sep 6, 2024 Asian Cup
Brunei vs Macau
3:0
Nov 12, 2016 AFC Solidarity Cup
Macau vs Brunei
2:1
Apr 12, 1985 World Championship
Brunei vs Macau
1:2
Feb 16, 1985 World Championship
Macau vs Brunei
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Macau Compare

Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.64

Brunei Compare

Top Goalscorer Ali Rahman A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macau 95 / 100
Brunei 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macau Brunei

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Macau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brunei has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Brunei registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Macau found the back of the net in 41% of recent matches (27 games).

Scoring Trends

Macau VS Brunei
0.29 Goals Scored 0.63
2.57 Goals Conceded 2.25
71% Over 1.5 38%
57% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Macau

(Home)
29 Mar
Macau
0 : 6
Tanzania
26 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1
Macau
19 Mar
Hong Kong
2 : 0
Macau
14 Dec
Macau
1 : 2
Guam
10 Sept
Macau
0 : 1
Brunei
Page 1 of 6

Brunei

(Away)
09 Jun
Timor-Leste
3 : 1
Brunei
02 Jun
Brunei
0 : 3
Timor-Leste
31 Mar
Bhutan
2 : 1
Brunei
18 Nov
Brunei
0 : 3
Lebanon
14 Oct
Yemen
9 : 0
Brunei
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Sri Lanka 3
Cambodia 2
Timor-Leste 4
Mongolia 3
Brunei 4
Macau 0