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Macau vs Myanmar

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Aung Lwin Moe
46'
Sub
Kam C. H. In: Amancio
Out: Kam C. H.
51'
Aung Wai Lin

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2023 game between Macau and Myanmar finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Myanmar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Macau
15%
Draws
85%
Myanmar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Myanmar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Macau haven't matched Myanmar's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Myanmar's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Myanmar have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Macau Clean Sheet 10%
Myanmar Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macau Myanmar
Matches Played 27 33
Wins 3 13
Draws 2 5
Losses 22 15
Goals Scored 0.59 1.61
Goals Conceded 2.41 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2023 World Championship
Macau vs Myanmar
0:0
Oct 12, 2023 World Championship
Myanmar vs Macau
5:1
Jun 19, 2023 Friendly International
Macau vs Myanmar
0:2
Mar 27, 2018 Asian Cup
Myanmar vs Macau
1:0
Jun 13, 2017 Asian Cup
Macau vs Myanmar
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Macau Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Myanmar Compare

Top Goalscorer Aung Lwin Moe
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macau 10 / 100
Myanmar 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macau Myanmar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Myanmar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Myanmar has conceded goals in 79% of their last 33 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Myanmar has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Macau scored in 41% of their last 27 games.

Scoring Trends

Macau VS Myanmar
0.25 Goals Scored 1.25
3 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Macau

(Home)
29 Mar
Macau
0 : 6
Tanzania
26 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1
Macau
19 Mar
Hong Kong
2 : 0
Macau
14 Dec
Macau
1 : 2
Guam
10 Sept
Macau
0 : 1
Brunei
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Myanmar

(Away)
08 Aug
Thailand
2 : 0
Myanmar
04 Aug
Myanmar
7 : 2
Laos
28 Jul
Philippines
1 : 4
Myanmar
25 Jul
Myanmar
1 : 2
Malaysia
18 Jul
Vietnam
4 : 0
Myanmar
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