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Macau vs Sri Lanka

World World

World Cup 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Lam Ngai-Tong
52' Event
Filipe Duarte
61'
Sub
De Silva D. In: Jude N.
Out: De Silva D.

AI Match Summary

Macau in this World Cup 2022 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Macau
15%
Draws
85%
Sri Lanka
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sri Lanka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Sri Lanka have won more games recently than Macau.
  • Model gives Sri Lanka a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Sri Lanka arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Macau, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Macau Clean Sheet 10%
Sri Lanka Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macau Sri Lanka
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 6 11
Draws 2 5
Losses 23 13
Goals Scored 1 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.26 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2019 World Championship
Sri Lanka vs Macau
3:0
Jun 6, 2019 World Championship
Macau vs Sri Lanka
1:0
Nov 9, 2016 AFC Solidarity Cup
Sri Lanka vs Macau
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Macau Compare

Top Goalscorer Filipe Duarte
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Sri Lanka Compare

Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.06

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macau 10 / 100
Sri Lanka 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macau Sri Lanka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sri Lanka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sri Lanka has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Macau found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (31 games).

Away concern: Sri Lanka has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Macau VS Sri Lanka
0.4 Goals Scored 1
2.8 Goals Conceded 1.13
80% Over 1.5 63%
60% Over 2.5 38%
40% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Macau

(Home)
29 Mar
Macau
0 : 6
Tanzania
26 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1
Macau
19 Mar
Hong Kong
2 : 0
Macau
14 Dec
Macau
1 : 2
Guam
10 Sept
Macau
0 : 1
Brunei
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Sri Lanka

(Away)
08 Jun
Sri Lanka
4 : 1
Bhutan
31 Mar
Chinese Taipei
1 : 3
Sri Lanka
18 Nov
Sri Lanka
0 : 4
Thailand
14 Oct
Turkmenistan
2 : 1
Sri Lanka
09 Oct
Sri Lanka
1 : 0
Turkmenistan
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Laos 0
Bangladesh 1
Macau 1
Sri Lanka 3
Malaysia 12
Timor-Leste 2
Bhutan 1
Guam 5
Cambodia 4
Pakistan 1
Mongolia 3
Brunei 2