Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maccabi Haifa vs Ashkelon

Israel Israel

State Cup 2024/2025 Sammy Ofer Stadium, Haifa
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Nahuel M.
23' Event
Azoulay E.
42' Event
Kinda G.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 6-0, with Maccabi Haifa advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Maccabi Haifa
15%
Draws
28%
Ashkelon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maccabi Haifa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Maccabi Haifa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Maccabi Haifa's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Maccabi Haifa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Maccabi Haifa, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Maccabi Haifa Clean Sheet 68%
Ashkelon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maccabi Haifa Ashkelon
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 3
Draws 3 4
Losses 12 23
Goals Scored 1.97 0.47
Goals Conceded 1.52 2.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 30, 2024 State Cup
Maccabi Haifa vs Ashkelon
6:0
Apr 14, 2018 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Haifa vs Ashkelon
2:1
Mar 10, 2018 Ligat ha'Al
Ashkelon vs Maccabi Haifa
0:0
Dec 9, 2017 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Haifa vs Ashkelon
1:1
Feb 6, 2017 Ligat ha'Al
Ashkelon vs Maccabi Haifa
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maccabi Haifa Compare

Top Goalscorer Dahan O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nahuel M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Ashkelon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maccabi Haifa 95 / 100
Ashkelon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maccabi Haifa Ashkelon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maccabi Haifa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 6:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ashkelon let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Maccabi Haifa scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Maccabi Haifa stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maccabi Haifa VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Maccabi Haifa

(Home)
19 Sept
Maccabi Haifa
3 : 2
Ironi Tiberias
14 Sept
Shmona
0 : 4
Maccabi Haifa
05 Sept
Maccabi Haifa
2 : 1
Hapoel Petah Tikva
31 Aug
Maccabi Tel Aviv
3 : 1
Maccabi Haifa
22 Aug
Maccabi Haifa
2 : 1
Hapoel Ramat Gan
Page 1 of 7

Ashkelon

(Away)
30 Dec
Maccabi Haifa
6 : 0
Ashkelon
28 Nov
Ashkelon
1 : 0
Agudat Sport Ashdod
14 Nov
Bnei HaGolan VeHaGalil
0 : 2
Ashkelon
13 Apr
Hapoel Bikat Hayarden
7 : 0
Ashkelon
06 Apr
Ashkelon
2 : 3
Hapoel Bnei Lod
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
MS Kafr Qasim -
TBD -
TBD -
H. Raanana -
Nof Hagalil -
TBD -
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 8
Maccabi Yehud Monosson 0
Hapoel Afula -
TBD -
Hapoel Karmiel 3
Hapoel Marmorek 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Ashdod -
Maccabi Tel Aviv -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Jerusalem -
Maccabi Bnei Raina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Kfar Shalem -
Maccabi Petah Tikva -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shmona -
Sakhnin -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
H. Ironi Rishon -
TBD -
Ironi Modiin 1
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 0
Ihud Bnei Baqa 0
Tzeirey Um El Fahem 2
Akiva 1
Ironi Nesher 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Akko -
Holon Yermiyahu 2
Hapoel Bnei Musmus 0
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 0
Kiryat Yam 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Beitar Jerusalem -
Hapoel Ramat Gan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yehuda -
Ramat Hasharon -
TBD -
Hapoel Azor 1
Ironi Baka 3
M. Herzliya -
TBD -
Ironi Beit Shemesh 1
Hapoel Bnei Lod 2
Hapoel Haifa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Petah Tikva -
TBD -
Hapoel Hod Hasharon 2
Maccabi Yavne 1
Ironi Tiberias -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maccabi Jaffa -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Tel Aviv -
FC Dimona 4
Bnei Tira 0
M. Nazareth 2
Hapoel Daliyat 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
H. Beer Sheva -
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 1
Dizengoff Tel Aviv 0
Beit Shean 3
Hapoel Segev Shalom 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Hadera -
Maccabi Haifa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bnei HaGolan VeHaGalil 0
Ashkelon 2
Agudat Sport Ashdod 1
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 0
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Kfar Saba -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Netanya -
1/32-finals
MS Kafr Qasim 1
H. Raanana 3
Nof Hagalil 2
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 3
Hapoel Afula 6
Hapoel Karmiel 0
TBD -
SC Ashdod -
Maccabi Tel Aviv -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Jerusalem -
Maccabi Bnei Raina -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Kfar Shalem -
Maccabi Petah Tikva -
TBD -
TBD -
Shmona -
Sakhnin -
TBD -
H. Ironi Rishon 0
Ironi Modiin 1
Tzeirey Um El Fahem 1
Ironi Nesher 0
TBD -
Hapoel Akko -
Holon Yermiyahu 0
Kiryat Yam 2
TBD -
Beitar Jerusalem -
Hapoel Ramat Gan -
TBD -
TBD -
Yehuda -
Ramat Hasharon 6
Ironi Baka 2
M. Herzliya 2
Hapoel Bnei Lod 0
Hapoel Haifa -
TBD -
Hapoel Petah Tikva 5
Hapoel Hod Hasharon 0
Ironi Tiberias -
TBD -
Maccabi Jaffa 1
Hapoel Tel Aviv 2
FC Dimona 7
Hapoel Daliyat 0
TBD -
H. Beer Sheva -
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 1
Beit Shean 3
TBD -
Hapoel Hadera -
Maccabi Haifa -
TBD -
Ashkelon 1
Agudat Sport Ashdod 0
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 2
Hapoel Kfar Saba 1
TBD -
Netanya -
1/16-finals
H. Raanana 2
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 4
Hapoel Afula 3
SC Ashdod 4
Maccabi Tel Aviv 3
Hapoel Jerusalem 0
Maccabi Bnei Raina 3
Hapoel Kfar Shalem 0
Maccabi Petah Tikva 2
Shmona 0
Sakhnin 4
Ironi Modiin 3
Tzeirey Um El Fahem 0
Hapoel Akko 2
Kiryat Yam 2
Beitar Jerusalem 3
Hapoel Ramat Gan 3
Yehuda 2
Ramat Hasharon 1
M. Herzliya 0
Hapoel Haifa 2
Hapoel Petah Tikva 1
Ironi Tiberias 0
Hapoel Tel Aviv 2
FC Dimona 0
H. Beer Sheva 4
Beit Shean 1
Hapoel Hadera 2
Maccabi Haifa 6
Ashkelon 0
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 0
Netanya 2
1/8-finals
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 1
SC Ashdod 4
Maccabi Tel Aviv 1
Maccabi Bnei Raina 2
Maccabi Petah Tikva 1
Sakhnin 2
Hapoel Akko 0
Beitar Jerusalem 1
Hapoel Ramat Gan 7
Ramat Hasharon 0
Hapoel Haifa 1
Hapoel Tel Aviv 2
H. Beer Sheva 6
Hapoel Hadera 0
Maccabi Haifa 1
Netanya 0
Quarter-finals
SC Ashdod 1
Maccabi Bnei Raina 3
Sakhnin 0
Beitar Jerusalem 3
Hapoel Ramat Gan 0
Hapoel Tel Aviv 2
H. Beer Sheva 2
Maccabi Haifa 0
Semi-finals
Maccabi Bnei Raina 1
Beitar Jerusalem 5
Hapoel Tel Aviv 1
H. Beer Sheva 5
Final
Beitar Jerusalem 0
H. Beer Sheva 2