Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Tel Aviv

Israel Israel

Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 Sammy Ofer Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Silva X.
32'
Faingezicht Y.
40' Event
Stewart T.

AI Match Summary

Maccabi Haifa host Hapoel Tel Aviv in the Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Maccabi Haifa at 2.13 goals for, 1.25 against; Hapoel Tel Aviv at 0.88 for, 1.75 against. Head-to-head, Maccabi Haifa have won 2 to Hapoel Tel Aviv's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 19, 2026, ending 4:1. xG projections (1.94 - 1.06) back Maccabi Haifa to edge this. Maccabi Haifa in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Maccabi Haifa
33%
Draws
27%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Maccabi Haifa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Maccabi Haifa has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Hapoel Tel Aviv.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Maccabi Haifa.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Maccabi Haifa Clean Sheet 20%
Hapoel Tel Aviv Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maccabi Haifa Hapoel Tel Aviv
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 15
Draws 4 7
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 2.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
4:1
Apr 29, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa
4:0
Apr 6, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa
2:0
Dec 2, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
2:1
Mar 17, 2024 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maccabi Haifa Compare

Top Goalscorer Stewart T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Melamed G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Hapoel Tel Aviv Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva X.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maccabi Haifa 40 / 100
Hapoel Tel Aviv 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maccabi Haifa Hapoel Tel Aviv

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maccabi Haifa scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Hapoel Tel Aviv let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Maccabi Haifa went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Hapoel Tel Aviv lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maccabi Haifa VS Hapoel Tel Aviv
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1H. Beer Sheva36247579:3879
2Beitar Jerusalem362210478:4076
3Maccabi Tel Aviv36199872:4666
4Hapoel Tel Aviv361881055:3560
5Maccabi Haifa3615101166:4755
6Hapoel Petah Tikva369131448:5740