Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod vs H. Herzliya

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Badir S.
29'
Nisembaum J.
34' Event
Marciano Y.

AI Match Summary

H. Herzliya in this Liga Alef South matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored H. Herzliya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
35%
Draws
46%
H. Herzliya
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: H. Herzliya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Maccabi Ironi Ashdod at 1.95 per game, H. Herzliya at 1.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga Alef South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Clean Sheet 20%
H. Herzliya Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maccabi Ironi Ashdod H. Herzliya
Matches Played 22 21
Wins 6 6
Draws 9 6
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.95 1
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 0.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 Liga Alef South
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod vs H. Herzliya
1:2
Mar 20, 2026 Liga Alef South
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod vs H. Herzliya
0:0
Dec 5, 2025 Liga Alef South
H. Herzliya vs Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
1:3
Feb 7, 2025 Liga Alef South
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod vs H. Herzliya
2:2
Oct 9, 2024 Liga Alef South
H. Herzliya vs Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Compare

Top Goalscorer Marciano Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

H. Herzliya Compare

Top Goalscorer Badir S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 32 / 100
H. Herzliya 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod H. Herzliya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Maccabi Ironi Ashdod scored in 91% of their last 22 outings.

H. Herzliya let in goals in 76% of their last 21 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod VS H. Herzliya
0.25 Goals Scored 0.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.25
25% Over 1.5 25%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

(Home)
24 Sept
Hapoel Hadera
1 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
18 Sept
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
2 : 2
Ironi Beit Shemesh
09 Sept
Jerusalem FC
1 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
03 Sept
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
1 : 2
H. Herzliya
27 Feb
Hapoel Marmorek
1 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
Page 1 of 5

H. Herzliya

(Away)
23 Sept
H. Herzliya
1 : 0
Tzeirei Tira
18 Sept
Maccabi Yavne
0 : 0
H. Herzliya
09 Sept
H. Herzliya
3 : 1
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
03 Sept
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
1 : 2
H. Herzliya
27 Feb
Beitar Yavne
1 : 0
H. Herzliya
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi 4 3 1 0 11:3 10
2 Shimshon Tel Aviv 4 3 1 0 9:4 10
3 H. Herzliya 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 FC Dimona 4 3 0 1 5:5 9
5 Jerusalem FC 4 2 2 0 7:4 8
6 Ramat Hasharon 4 2 2 0 3:1 8
7 Holon Yermiyahu 4 2 1 1 3:3 7
8 Hapoel Sderot FC 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
9 Hapoel Azor 4 2 0 2 4:6 6
10 Maccabi Yavne 4 1 2 1 4:2 5
11 Hapoel Hadera 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
12 Ironi Beit Shemesh 4 1 1 2 4:8 4
13 Kfar Saba 1928 4 1 0 3 5:5 3
14 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 4 0 3 1 5:6 3
15 Hapoel Marmorek 4 1 0 3 2:4 3
16 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 4 0 2 2 2:5 2
17 Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 4 0 0 4 2:9 0
18 Tzeirei Tira 4 0 0 4 1:8 0
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)