Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod vs Holon Yermiyahu

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South
Wed, Sep 30, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod host Holon Yermiyahu in the Liga Alef South. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Maccabi Ironi Ashdod at 1.81 goals for, 1.76 against; Holon Yermiyahu at 1.14 for, 1.36 against. Past meetings favor Holon Yermiyahu slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 27, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.72 xG vs 0.26) point toward Holon Yermiyahu. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
35%
Draws
43%
Holon Yermiyahu
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Holon Yermiyahu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Holon Yermiyahu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Maccabi Ironi Ashdod taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Clean Sheet 20%
Holon Yermiyahu Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Holon Yermiyahu
Matches Played 21 22
Wins 5 7
Draws 9 5
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.81 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 0.26
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 Liga Alef South
Holon Yermiyahu vs Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
0:0
Dec 13, 2025 Liga Alef South
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod vs Holon Yermiyahu
1:1
Apr 25, 2025 Liga Alef South
Holon Yermiyahu vs Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
5:3
Dec 28, 2024 Liga Alef South
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod vs Holon Yermiyahu
1:4
Mar 22, 2024 Liga Alef South
Holon Yermiyahu vs Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 36 / 100
Holon Yermiyahu 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Holon Yermiyahu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Maccabi Ironi Ashdod scored in 90% of their last 21 outings.

Holon Yermiyahu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 22 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod VS Holon Yermiyahu
0.25 Goals Scored 0.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

(Home)
24 Sept
Hapoel Hadera
1 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
18 Sept
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
2 : 2
Ironi Beit Shemesh
09 Sept
Jerusalem FC
1 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
03 Sept
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
1 : 2
H. Herzliya
27 Feb
Hapoel Marmorek
1 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
Page 1 of 5

Holon Yermiyahu

(Away)
24 Sept
Holon Yermiyahu
1 : 0
Kfar Saba 1928
17 Sept
Shimshon Tel Aviv
3 : 1
Holon Yermiyahu
09 Sept
Holon Yermiyahu
1 : 0
Hapoel Marmorek
04 Sept
Holon Yermiyahu
0 : 0
Ramat Hasharon
27 Feb
Holon Yermiyahu
0 : 0
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi 4 3 1 0 11:3 10
2 Shimshon Tel Aviv 4 3 1 0 9:4 10
3 H. Herzliya 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 FC Dimona 4 3 0 1 5:5 9
5 Jerusalem FC 4 2 2 0 7:4 8
6 Ramat Hasharon 4 2 2 0 3:1 8
7 Holon Yermiyahu 4 2 1 1 3:3 7
8 Hapoel Sderot FC 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
9 Hapoel Azor 4 2 0 2 4:6 6
10 Maccabi Yavne 4 1 2 1 4:2 5
11 Hapoel Hadera 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
12 Ironi Beit Shemesh 4 1 1 2 4:8 4
13 Kfar Saba 1928 4 1 0 3 5:5 3
14 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 4 0 3 1 5:6 3
15 Hapoel Marmorek 4 1 0 3 2:4 3
16 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 4 0 2 2 2:5 2
17 Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 4 0 0 4 2:9 0
18 Tzeirei Tira 4 0 0 4 1:8 0
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)