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Maccabi Ironi Ashdod vs Shimshon Tel Aviv - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South
Mon, Oct 19, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod host Shimshon Tel Aviv in the Liga Alef South. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Shimshon Tel Aviv have shipped 1.05 goals a game lately, while Maccabi Ironi Ashdod have conceded 1.67 and scored 1.81. Past meetings favor Maccabi Ironi Ashdod slightly — 1-0-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.51 - 0.81) back Shimshon Tel Aviv to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
35%
Draws
38%
Shimshon Tel Aviv
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Shimshon Tel Aviv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shimshon Tel Aviv come out ahead of Maccabi Ironi Ashdod on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Shimshon Tel Aviv's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Clean Sheet 20%
Shimshon Tel Aviv Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Shimshon Tel Aviv
Matches Played 21 22
Wins 5 11
Draws 10 5
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.81 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.05
Expected Goals (xG) 0.51 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Liga Alef South
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod vs Shimshon Tel Aviv
0:0
Jan 9, 2026 Liga Alef South
Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
1:1
Mar 7, 2025 Liga Alef South
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod vs Shimshon Tel Aviv
1:1
Oct 31, 2024 Liga Alef South
Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
0:1
Mar 15, 2024 Liga Alef South
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod vs Shimshon Tel Aviv
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 24 / 100
Shimshon Tel Aviv 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Shimshon Tel Aviv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shimshon Tel Aviv Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Maccabi Ironi Ashdod scored in 90% of their last 21 outings.

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Shimshon Tel Aviv's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 22 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod VS Shimshon Tel Aviv
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

(Home)
08 Oct
Hapoel Marmorek
1 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
30 Sept
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
2 : 0
Holon Yermiyahu
24 Sept
Hapoel Hadera
1 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
18 Sept
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
2 : 2
Ironi Beit Shemesh
09 Sept
Jerusalem FC
1 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
Page 1 of 5

Shimshon Tel Aviv

(Away)
09 Oct
Shimshon Tel Aviv
3 : 0
Kfar Saba 1928
30 Sept
Shimshon Tel Aviv
1 : 2
Ramat Hasharon
23 Sept
Hapoel Marmorek
1 : 2
Shimshon Tel Aviv
17 Sept
Shimshon Tel Aviv
3 : 1
Holon Yermiyahu
09 Sept
Hapoel Hadera
2 : 2
Shimshon Tel Aviv
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Dimona 6 5 0 1 12:8 15
2 Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi 6 4 2 0 12:3 14
3 Shimshon Tel Aviv 6 4 1 1 13:6 13
4 H. Herzliya 6 3 3 0 6:2 12
5 Ramat Hasharon 6 3 3 0 6:3 12
6 Jerusalem FC 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
7 Holon Yermiyahu 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
8 Maccabi Yavne 6 2 3 1 9:3 9
9 Hapoel Hadera 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
10 Hapoel Azor 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
11 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 6 1 4 1 8:7 7
12 Hapoel Sderot FC 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
13 Ironi Beit Shemesh 6 2 1 3 8:14 7
14 Hapoel Marmorek 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
15 Kfar Saba 1928 6 1 1 4 7:10 4
16 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 6 0 3 3 4:8 3
17 Tzeirei Tira 6 0 0 6 2:13 0
18 Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 6 0 0 6 2:18 0
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)